Pirates at Blue Jays

Updated
Rank10
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6
41.7%58.3%
Pirates WinBlue Jays Win
3.34Projected Runs 4.21
4Final Score 1
Rank11
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2
Rank10
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6
Rank11
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
104-23.861.06

Dylan Cease (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
103-22.981.22

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 2-5 at Toronto Blue JaysPIT: Paul Skenes • TOR: Patrick Corbin-134
L 2-6 at Toronto Blue JaysPIT: Bubba Chandler • TOR: Kevin Gausman+141
W 6-2 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Braxton Ashcraft • STL: Dustin May-113
W 7-0 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Carmen Mlodzinski • STL: Michael McGreevy+105
L 6-9 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Mitch Keller • STL: Matthew Liberatore+101
Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • TOR: Patrick Corbin+130
W 2-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bubba Chandler • TOR: Kevin Gausman-148
W 2-0 at New York YankeesTOR: Braydon Fisher • NYY: Carlos Rodón+125
W 2-1 at New York YankeesTOR: Trey Yesavage • NYY: Cam Schlittler+156
L 4-5 at New York YankeesTOR: Dylan Cease • NYY: Will Warren+120

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CJoey Bart10-day IL
  • PChris Devenski15-day IL
  • DHRyan O'Hearn10-day IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • 3BAddison Barger10-day IL
  • PMax Scherzer15-day IL
  • PTommy Nance15-day IL
ESE 6 mph
Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)52°54°56°57°
Humidity90%89%87%84%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindESE 6 mphE 5 mphE 5 mphE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+125+158+149+155+157+155+158+161.2
Blue Jays-138-175-181-172-167-172-167-161.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+130+160+156+155+156+155+160+161.2
Blue Jays-146-175-174-170-180-170-170-161.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +125 to +116
Blue Jays ML moved from -161 to -172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +150 to +140
Blue Jays ML moved from -160 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-165+1½-141+1½-140+1½-141+1½-145+1½-141+1½-140+1½-129
Blue Jays-1½+140-1½+127-1½+120-1½+121-1½+125-1½+121-1½+127-1½+129
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-160+1½-145+1½-146+1½-150+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-129
Blue Jays-1½+140-1½+125-1½+126-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+129

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-103o7½-110o7½-107o7½-110o7½-107o7½-103o7½+103
Underu7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-113u7½-110u7½-113u7½-110u7½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-105o7½-105o7½-115o7½-110o7½-105o7½-105o7½+103
Underu7½-110u7½-115u7½-115u7½-105u7½-110u7½-115u7½-105u7½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-117
The Under moved from u7½-102 to u7½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115