Red Sox at Blue Jays

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(89-73)
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
44.7%55.3%
Red Sox WinBlue Jays Win
3.72Projected Runs 4.27
4Final Score 1

Toronto Blue Jays

(94-68)
Rank5
R/G5.6
RA/G4.9
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank5
R/G5.6
RA/G4.9

Pitching

Lucas Giolito (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2510-43.461.283

Kevin Gausman (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3010-103.381.007

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 3-7 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Connelly Early • TBR: Joe Boyle-125
W 6-3 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Kyle Harrison • TBR: Adrian Houser+102
W 11-7 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Garrett Crochet • TBR: Drew Rasmussen-134
L 5-3 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: J.T. Ginn • BOS: Brayan Bello-140
W 4-5 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Mason Barnett • BOS: Lucas Giolito-156
Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
W 8-5 at Kansas City RoyalsTOR: Trey Yesavage • KCR: Michael Wacha-120
L 1-2 at Kansas City RoyalsTOR: Shane Bieber • KCR: Noah Cameron-128
L 1-20 at Kansas City RoyalsTOR: Max Scherzer • KCR: Michael Lorenzen-133
L 0-4 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • TBR: Shane Baz-118
L 1-2 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • TBR: Ian Seymour-124

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PRichard Fitts15-day IL
  • PJordan Hicks15-day IL
  • PDustin May15-day IL
  • PLiam HendriksOut for Season
  • RFRoman Anthony10-day IL
  • PHunter DobbinsOut for Season
  • PKutter CrawfordOut for Season
  • 2BVaughn GrissomOut for Season
  • PBrennan Bernardino15-day IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • PYimi GarciaOut for Season
  • PNick Sandlin15-day IL
  • SSBo BichetteOut
  • RFAnthony SantanderProbable
  • PRyan BurrOut for Season
  • PChris Bassitt15-day IL
  • 1BTy France10-day IL
  • PBowden Francis60-day IL
NNE 5 mph
Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
WindO/U Effect
From RightVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)71°68°67°67°
Humidity79%82%86%88%
Precipitation30%39%41%36%
ConditionRainHeavy RainRainDrizzle
WindNNE 5 mphN 6 mphN 5 mphN 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+121+138+130+135+140+135+140+140.6
Blue Jays-133-150-155-149-150-149-149-140.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+143+135+136+140+137+135+140+140.6
Blue Jays-162-150-152-155-155-150-150-140.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +140 to +134
Blue Jays ML moved from -159 to -168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +145 to +135
No Steam Moves On Blue Jays ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-165+1½-153+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-153+1½-143
Blue Jays-1½+140-1½+137-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+137-1½+143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-143
Blue Jays-1½+135-1½+140-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-103o8+102o7½-115o7½-114o8+105o7½-114o8+105o7½-104
Underu8½-117u8-118u7½-105u7½-106u8-125u7½-106u8-118u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-105o8+105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8+105o7½-104
Underu8-115u8-115u8-125u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-120 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-112 to u8-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120
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