Nationals at Mets

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.5
35.4%64.6%
Nationals WinMets Win
4.04Projected Runs 5.56
2Final Score 6
Rank14
R/G4.9
RA/G4.8
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.5
Rank14
R/G4.9
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
181-85.491.53

Luis Severino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
175-33.831.2

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 5-7 at New York MetsWSN: Jake Irvin • NYM: Jose Quintana+132
L 6-0 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • WSN: Mitchell Parker-113
L 8-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Kyle Gibson • WSN: DJ Herz-105
W 6-14 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Lance Lynn • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-126
L 7-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Sonny Gray • WSN: Patrick Corbin+144
New York Mets
Money Line
W 5-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • NYM: Jose Quintana-137
L 2-8 at Pittsburgh PiratesNYM: Christian Scott • PIT: Mitch Keller+114
W 3-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesNYM: Sean Manaea • PIT: Luis Ortiz-122
W 5-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesNYM: David Peterson • PIT: Bailey Falter-123
L 2-14 at Pittsburgh PiratesNYM: Luis Severino • PIT: Paul Skenes+125

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • 1BJoey Gallo10-day IL
  • DHJoey MenesesRest

New York Mets

Status
  • RFStarling Marte10-day IL
  • PSean Reid-Foley15-day IL
  • PDrew Smith60-day IL
  • 2BJeff McNeilRest
  • PBrooks RaleyOut for Season
S 18 mph
Citi Field, Queens, NY
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)81°80°78°78°
Humidity74%76%79%81%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionWindyWindyWindyPartly Cloudy
WindS 18 mphS 17 mphS 16 mphS 15 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+165+179+169+177+180+177+180+182.8
Mets-180-197-208-194-190-194-190-182.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+168+175+176+175+176+175+176+182.8
Mets-185-190-195-190-195-195-190-182.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +166 to +160
Mets ML moved from -191 to -197

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Mets ML moved from -185 to -195

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-128+1½-113+1½-115+1½-113+1½-120+1½-113+1½-113+1½-103
Mets-1½+108-1½-103-1½-105-1½-107-1½+100-1½-107-1½+100-1½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-125+1½-120+1½-118+1½-110+1½-120+1½-110+1½-110+1½-103
Mets-1½+105-1½+100-1½+100-1½-110-1½+100-1½-110-1½+100-1½+103

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9½-113o9½-115o9½-115o9½-115o9½-115o9½-113o9½-104
Underu8½-105u9½-103u9½-105u9½-105u9½-105u9½-105u9½-103u9½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9½-120o9½-115o9½-110o9½-115o9½-120o9½-110o9½-104
Underu9-115u9½+100u9½-105u9½-110u9½-105u9½+100u9½+100u9½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9+111 to u9+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-105 to u9½-115