Blue Jays at Astros

Updated
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4
41.5%58.5%
Blue Jays WinAstros Win
3.37Projected Runs 4.25
2Final Score 1
Rank15
R/G4.5
RA/G5.2
Rank16
R/G3.5
RA/G4.4
Rank15
R/G4.5
RA/G5.2

Pitching

José Berríos (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-03.01.167

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-05.792.357

Last 5 Games

Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
L 0-10 at Houston AstrosTOR: Bowden Francis • HOU: Ronel Blanco+133
W 9-2 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • TBR: Shawn Armstrong-116
L 1-5 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • TBR: Zack Littell+125
L 2-8 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • TBR: Aaron Civale+111
W 8-2 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: José Berríos • TBR: Zach Eflin+129
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 0-10 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Bowden Francis • HOU: Ronel Blanco-137
L 4-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • HOU: J.P. France-111
L 5-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Marcus Stroman • HOU: Hunter Brown-122
L 7-1 vs New York YankeesNYY: Carlos Rodón • HOU: Cristian Javier-115
L 5-4 vs New York YankeesNYY: Nestor Cortes • HOU: Framber Valdez-138

Injuries

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • CDanny Jansen10-day IL
  • PJordan Romano15-day IL
  • PAlek Manoah15-day IL
  • PErik Swanson15-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • PBennett Sousa15-day IL
  • POliver Ortega15-day IL
  • PShawn Dubin15-day IL
  • PJose Urquidy15-day IL
  • PLuis Garcia15-day IL
  • PKendall Graveman60-day IL
  • PJustin Verlander15-day IL
  • PLance McCullers Jr60-day IL
NW 14 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)73°69°66°64°
Humidity50%52%52%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 14 mphNW 14 mphNNW 14 mphNNW 13 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+133+130+124+128+132+128+132+132.6
Astros-145-140-148-139-142-139-139-132.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+133+130+131+132+135+135+135+132.6
Astros-146-140-143-147-147-150-140-132.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Astros: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from +135 to +126
Astros ML moved from -150 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Astros: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 30.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from +133 to +100
Astros ML moved from +127 to -146

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+1½-160+1½-163+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-153
Astros-1½+135-1½+147-1½+140-1½+145-1½+140-1½+145-1½+147-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays+1½-150+1½-165+1½-168+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-153
Astros-1½+130-1½+145-1½+149-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+149-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o8½-113o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8½-110o8½-104
Underu8½+105u8½-103u8½-105u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-103u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o8½-105o8½-110o8½-110o8½-105o8½-115o8½-105o8½-104
Underu8½+105u8½-115u8½-110u8½-110u8½-115u8½-105u8½-105u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-111 to u8½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-120