Guardians at Twins

Updated
Rank10
R/G5.6
RA/G3.2
44.6%55.4%
Guardians WinTwins Win
3.65Projected Runs 4.21
4Final Score 1
Rank14
R/G3.6
RA/G4.4
Rank10
R/G5.6
RA/G3.2
Rank14
R/G3.6
RA/G4.4

Pitching

J.C. Mejia (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-26.111.245

Jose Berrios (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
147-23.561.092

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 1-7 at Chicago CubsCLE: Eli Morgan • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+182
W 4-0 at Chicago CubsCLE: Aaron Civale • CHC: Adbert Alzolay+130
W 2-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Sam Hentges • PIT: JT Brubaker+122
L 3-6 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Cal Quantrill • PIT: Wil Crowe-113
L 10-11 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Jean Carlos Mejia • PIT: Chad Kuhl-126
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 10-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Wade Miley • MIN: Bailey Ober-118
W 5-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Tyler Mahle • MIN: J.A. Happ+106
W 4-2 at Texas RangersMIN: Kenta Maeda • TEX: Dane Dunning-122
W 3-2 at Texas RangersMIN: Randy Dobnak • TEX: Kolby Allard-102
W 7-5 at Texas RangersMIN: Jose Berrios • TEX: Mike Foltynewicz-152

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PAaron Civale10-day IL
  • PShane Bieber10-day IL
  • LFJordan Luplow60-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 3BJosh DonaldsonUnknown
  • CMitch Garver10-day IL
  • PMichael Pineda10-day IL
  • CFKyle Garlick10-day IL
  • PShaun Anderson10-day IL
  • CFByron Buxton10-day IL
  • PRandy Dobnak10-day IL
  • CFRob Refsnyder10-day IL
N 8 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°80°78°77°
Humidity43%46%48%49%
Precipitation0%0%3%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindN 8 mphN 7 mphN 7 mphN 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+170+162+170+168+164+168+170-
Twins-185-180-200-183-184-183-180-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+150+169+162+165+165+168+169-
Twins-165-184-179-180-181-183-179-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +148 to +141
Twins ML moved from -190 to -200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +160 to +150
Twins ML moved from -160 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-130+1½-125+1½-120+1½-123+1½-123+1½-123+1½-120-
Twins-1½+110-1½+105-1½+100-1½+103-1½+103-1½+103-1½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-130+1½-120+1½-128+1½-120+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120-
Twins-1½+112-1½+100-1½+110-1½+100-1½+100-1½+105-1½+110-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-125o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9-125-
Underu9-105u9+105u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-105o9-118o9-120o9-125o9-120o9-118-
Underu9+100u9½-115u9-102u9+100u9+105u9+100u9½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+108 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9½-117 to u9½-132

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-120