Red Sox at Blue Jays

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(14-11)
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
43.9%56.1%
Red Sox WinBlue Jays Win
3.17Projected Runs 3.82
2Final Score 1

Toronto Blue Jays

(13-12)
Rank11
R/G3.8
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
Rank11
R/G3.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
40-22.451.091

Jose Berrios (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
218-53.311.042

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 0-1 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Nick Pivetta • TOR: Robbie Ray+170
L 4-12 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • TOR: Alek Manoah+133
L 1-8 at Detroit TigersBOS: Martin Perez • DET: Tarik Skubal-121
W 4-1 at Detroit TigersBOS: Eduardo Rodriguez • DET: Casey Mize-145
L 2-4 at Detroit TigersBOS: Garrett Richards • DET: Wily Peralta-140
Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • TOR: Robbie Ray-185
W 4-12 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • TOR: Alek Manoah-136
W 0-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • TOR: Ross Stripling-195
W 6-8 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: J.C. Mejia • TOR: Steven Matz-192
W 2-7 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Zach Plesac • TOR: Hyun Jin Ryu-200

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BJarren Duran10-day IL
  • 2BChristian Arroyo10-day IL
  • PDarwinzon Hernandez10-day IL
  • CFDanny Santana10-day IL
  • DHJ.D. Martinez10-day IL
  • PMatt Andriese10-day IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • 3BCavan Biggio10-day IL
  • PAnthony Castro10-day IL
  • PTim Mayza10-day IL
  • CDanny Jansen10-day IL
  • PJoakim Soria10-day IL
  • LFLourdes Gurriel Jr.Rest
E 5 mph
Rogers Centre, Toronto
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°73°73°73°
Humidity88%92%88%84%
Precipitation12%11%8%11%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindE 5 mphE 4 mphSE 4 mphSE 4 mph
Nestor Ceja
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+143--+141+143+141+143-
Blue Jays-155---153-153-153-153-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+140+150+139+148+146+149+150-
Blue Jays-150-160-152-158-160-159-152-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +140 to +130
Blue Jays ML moved from -151 to -158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 60.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +150 to +140
Blue Jays ML moved from -158 to -164

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-155--+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160-
Blue Jays-1½+135---1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-155+1½-155+1½-159+1½-155+1½-150+1½-155+1½-150-
Blue Jays-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135-1½+140-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-125--o7+115o7+115o7+115o7+115-
Underu7+105--u7-135u7-135u7-135u7-135-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-110o7+105o7+115o7+105o7+105o7+105o7+115-
Underu7-110u7-125u7-135u7-125u7-125u7-125u7-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+105 to o7-102
The Under moved from u7-130 to u7-135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7-125 to u7-135
Rays at Orioles
Giants at Brewers