Mets at Cubs

Updated
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
51.7%48.3%
Mets WinCubs Win
4.19Projected Runs 4.00
2Final Score 7

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Tylor Megill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
95-23.881.424

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-12.860.934

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • NYM: Justin Verlander-132
W 4-5 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Tanner Bibee • NYM: Max Scherzer-145
W 9-10 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Cal Quantrill • NYM: Carlos Carrasco-136
W 2-3 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Taj Bradley • NYM: Tylor Megill+103
W 7-8 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Josh Fleming • NYM: Kodai Senga-120
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 1-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Justin Steele • PHI: Taijuan Walker+110
L 3-12 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Jameson Taillon • PHI: Aaron Nola+137
W 10-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Marcus Stroman • PHI: Ranger Suarez+118
L 6-7 at Houston AstrosCHC: Drew Smyly • HOU: J.P. France+156
L 3-7 at Houston AstrosCHC: Justin Steele • HOU: Cristian Javier+160

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • -Edwin UcetaUnknown
  • CFTim Locastro60-day IL
  • LFMark CanhaRest
  • 2BJeff McNeilRest
  • -Jimmy YacabonisUnknown
  • CFrancisco AlvarezRest
  • CTomas Nido10-day IL
  • PStephen Ridings60-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PAdrian Sampson60-day IL
  • DHTrey ManciniRest
  • CFCody Bellinger10-day IL
  • -Brad BoxbergerUnknown
E 8 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)73°72°69°67°
Humidity41%43%47%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindE 8 mphE 7 mphE 6 mphESE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-105+105+100+100+102+100+105+104.8
Cubs-105-113-120-110-112-110-110-104.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-105+104-104+100+100+102+104+104.8
Cubs-105-114-106-110-110-118-106-104.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +100 to -107
Cubs ML moved from -114 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +104 to -104
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+150+1½-193+1½-200+1½-195+1½-205+1½-195+1½-193+1½-178
Cubs+1½-175-1½+172-1½+170-1½+170-1½+173-1½+170-1½+173-1½+178
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-1½+155+1½-200+1½-200+1½-205+1½-200+1½-200+1½-200+1½-178
Cubs+1½-175-1½+175-1½+176-1½+170-1½+175-1½+175-1½+176-1½+178

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-118o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8-105u8½+102u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+102u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8-115u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-101 to u8½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110