Orioles at Guardians

Updated
Rank3
R/G5.8
RA/G4.3
39.2%60.8%
Orioles WinGuardians Win
3.68Projected Runs 4.81
7Final Score 8
Rank16
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank3
R/G5.8
RA/G4.3
Rank16
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Keegan Akin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-14.131.333

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
139-23.171.0

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 2-7 at Cleveland GuardiansBAL: Matt Harvey • CLE: Cal Quantrill+160
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansBAL: Dean Kremer • CLE: Jean Carlos Mejia+148
L 1-7 at Tampa Bay RaysBAL: Bruce Zimmerman • TBR: Michael Wacha+165
L 4-5 at Tampa Bay RaysBAL: Jorge Lopez • TBR: Rich Hill+195
L 2-4 at Tampa Bay RaysBAL: Keegan Akin • TBR: Ryan Yarbrough+165
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 2-7 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Matt Harvey • CLE: Cal Quantrill-165
W 3-4 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • CLE: Jean Carlos Mejia-150
L 6-2 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • CLE: Shane Bieber-220
W 4-5 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Yusei Kikuchi • CLE: Triston McKenzie-114
W 0-7 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Justin Dunn • CLE: Aaron Civale-152

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PJohn Means10-day IL
  • SSRichie Martin60-day IL
  • RFAnthony SantanderRest
  • 1BChris DavisOut for Season

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • LFJordan Luplow10-day IL
  • CAustin HedgesUnknown
  • DHFranmil Reyes10-day IL
  • PZach Plesac10-day IL
  • PShane Bieber10-day IL
  • LFJosh NaylorRest
WSW 4 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)70°70°69°68°
Humidity36%36%36%39%
Precipitation0%0%0%1%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWSW 4 mphSW 3 mphNNE 4 mphNE 5 mph
Sam Holbrook
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireModerate Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+161+141+144+143+145+143+145-
Guardians-175-157-168-155-155-155-155-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+140+144+140+145+146+148+148-
Guardians-150-154-154-155-160-158-154-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +144 to +134
Guardians ML moved from -158 to -166

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Orioles: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +150 to +144
Guardians ML moved from -148 to -155

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-150+1½-150+1½-140+1½-142+1½-142+1½-142+1½-140-
Guardians-1½+130-1½+130-1½+120-1½+122-1½+122-1½+122-1½+130-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-145+1½-145+1½-153+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140-
Guardians-1½+125-1½+125-1½+134-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+134-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+105o8-101o8-105o7½-128o7½-128o7½-128o8-101-
Underu8½-125u8-118u8-115u7½+108u7½+108u7½+108u7½+108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-110o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o8-110o7½-120-
Underu8+100u8-110u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u8-110u8-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-101 to o8-112
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-120 to o8-110
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110