Pirates at Red Sox

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(71-91)
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
42.2%57.8%
Pirates WinRed Sox Win
3.44Projected Runs 4.25
2Final Score 5

Boston Red Sox

(89-73)
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
276-124.351.285

Lucas Giolito (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
219-23.471.223

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 10-3 at Boston Red SoxPIT: Johan Oviedo • BOS: Dustin May+170
W 4-2 at Boston Red SoxPIT: Paul Skenes • BOS: Payton Tolle+105
L 1-4 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Braxton Ashcraft • STL: Miles Mikolas+106
W 2-1 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Carmen Mlodzinski • STL: Sonny Gray+155
W 8-3 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Mitch Keller • STL: Andre Pallante+111
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 10-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • BOS: Dustin May-174
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • BOS: Payton Tolle-110
W 3-2 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Garrett Crochet • BAL: Cade Povich-190
W 3-2 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Brayan Bello • BAL: Dietrich Enns-133
W 5-0 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Lucas Giolito • BAL: Kyle Bradish-115

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • RFJack Suwinski10-day IL
  • CFRonny Simon10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BMarcelo MayerOut for Season
  • PTanner HouckOut for Season
  • PRichard Fitts15-day IL
  • RFWilyer Abreu10-day IL
ENE 8 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
From RightModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)74°74°73°72°
Humidity48%50%50%49%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindENE 8 mphE 9 mphE 8 mphESE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+165+150+150+154+158+154+158+160.3
Red Sox-183-164-182-171-168-171-164-160.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+156+160+156+154+152+157+160+160.3
Red Sox-180-175-174-169-174-172-169-160.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +154 to +147
Red Sox ML moved from -173 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +163 to +153
Red Sox ML moved from -160 to -174

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-140+1½-133+1½-130+1½-133+1½-135+1½-133+1½-130+1½-122
Red Sox-1½+120-1½+117-1½+110-1½+113-1½+115-1½+113-1½+117-1½+122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-130+1½-135+1½-136+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-122
Red Sox-1½+110-1½+115-1½+116-1½+115-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+122

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-112o8½-113o8½-105o8½-113o8½-110o8½-113o8½-105o8½-103
Underu8½-108u8½-103u8½-115u8½-107u8½-110u8½-107u8½-103u8½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-110o8½-110o8½-120o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½-103
Underu8½+100u8½-110u8½-110u8½+100u8½-105u8½-110u8½+100u8½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-108 to o8½-118
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-105
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