Mets at Reds

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3
48.0%52.0%
Mets WinReds Win
5.11Projected Runs 5.32
6Final Score 9
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Luis Severino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-15.42.2

Nick Martinez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-05.41.4

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 3-2 at Cincinnati RedsNYM: José Quintana • CIN: Hunter Greene+124
W 1-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matt Manning • NYM: José Butto-118
L 6-3 vs Detroit TigersDET: Casey Mize • NYM: Adrian Houser-136
L 5-0 vs Detroit TigersDET: Reese Olson • NYM: Sean Manaea-130
L 4-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Colin Rea • NYM: Tylor Megill-134
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 3-2 vs New York MetsNYM: José Quintana • CIN: Hunter Greene-126
W 4-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Frankie Montas • PHI: Zack Wheeler+162
L 4-9 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Graham Ashcraft • PHI: Spencer Turnbull+128
W 6-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Andrew Abbott • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez+133
W 5-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • CIN: Nick Martinez-165

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PSean Reid-Foley15-day IL
  • PKodai Senga15-day IL
  • CFBrandon NimmoUnknown
  • PTylor Megill15-day IL
  • PMax Kranick15-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PNick Lodolo15-day IL
  • SSMatt McLain60-day IL
  • PSam Moll15-day IL
  • CFT.J. Friedl10-day IL
  • PIan Gibaut15-day IL
  • PBrandon Williamson15-day IL
  • PAlex Young15-day IL
N 6 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
To RightModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)57°57°56°55°
Humidity40%40%40%45%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindN 6 mphN 5 mphN 5 mphNNE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+115+109+107+111+108+111+111+115.5
Reds-125-119-128-121-118-121-118-115.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+112+110+110+107+115+110+115+115.5
Reds-122-120-120-122-125-120-118-115.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +114 to +106
Reds ML moved from -119 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 40.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Mets ML
Reds ML moved from -118 to -125

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-180+1½-183+1½-185+1½-182+1½-180+1½-182+1½-180+1½-169
Reds-1½+160-1½+162-1½+160-1½+162-1½+160-1½+162-1½+162-1½+169
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-170+1½-180+1½-186+1½-185+1½-185+1½-190+1½-180+1½-169
Reds-1½+150-1½+160-1½+164-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+169

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9½-103o9½+100o9½-104o9½-105o9½-104o9½+100o9½+105
Underu9½-120u9½-113u9½-120u9½-116u9½-115u9½-116u9½-113u9½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+105
Underu9+100u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-120