Phillies at Marlins

Updated
Rank5
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
63.1%36.9%
Phillies WinMarlins Win
4.39Projected Runs 3.02
11Final Score 0
Rank26
R/G3.5
RA/G5.2
Rank5
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
Rank26
R/G3.5
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
84-32.740.953

Trevor Rogers (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-03.01.2

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 6-7 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Jake Arrieta • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+100
L 5-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Chris Mazza • PHI: Vince Velasquez-160
W 5-6 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Martin Perez • PHI: Zach Eflin-180
W 9-8 at New York MetsPHI: Zack Wheeler • NYM: David Peterson-124
L 1-14 at New York MetsPHI: Aaron Nola • NYM: Jacob deGrom+147
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 6-7 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Jake Arrieta • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-105
L 9-29 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Pablo Lopez • ATL: Tommy Milone+130
W 8-0 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Sixto Sanchez • ATL: Kyle Wright+108
W 5-4 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Jose Urena • ATL: Ian Anderson+200
L 4-5 at Tampa Bay RaysMIA: Trevor Rogers • TBR: Tyler Glasnow+200

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CFRoman QuinnUnknown
  • RFJay BruceRest
  • 2BScott Kingery10-day IL
  • PJose Alvarez10-day IL
  • PAdam Morgan10-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PStephen Tarpley10-day IL
  • PPat Venditte10-day IL
  • RFHarold Ramirez60-day IL
  • CFrancisco Cervelli60-day IL
  • PElieser HernandezOut for Season
  • 2BJon Berti10-day IL
  • 2BLogan Forsythe60-day IL
  • RFMagneuris Sierra10-day IL
N 11 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)85°84°81°79°
Humidity76%79%84%84%
Precipitation48%46%45%47%
ConditionRain and HumidRain and HumidRain and HumidRain and Humid
WindN 11 mphN 10 mphE 9 mphNE 9 mph
Joe West
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-135-170-163-157-170-163-157-
Marlins+125+145+150+147+155+150+155-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-135--158-160-165-162-158-
Marlins+125-+144+150+150+152+152-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -154 to -160
Marlins ML moved from +148 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Marlins: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -165 to -175
Marlins ML moved from +151 to +144

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+150-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135-
Marlins+1½-170+1½-155+1½-150+1½-155+1½-160+1½-150+1½-150-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+150--1½+141-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-1½+141-
Marlins+1½-170-+1½-160+1½-150+1½-150+1½-155+1½-150-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-110o6+105o6+107o5½-110o6+110o6+107o6+110-
Underu6-110u6-125u6-127u5½-110u6-130u6-127u5½-110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-110-o5½-130o6+105o6+105o6+105o6+105-
Underu6-110-u5½+110u6-125u6-125u6-125u5½+110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-110 to o6-115
The Under moved from u6-107 to u6-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o5½-117 to o5½-130
The Under moved from u6-115 to u6-125