Diamondbacks at Padres

Updated
Rank18
R/G5.7
RA/G4.4
28.1%71.9%
Diamondbacks WinPadres Win
2.97Projected Runs 5.23
10Final Score 1
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
Rank18
R/G5.7
RA/G4.4
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
153-75.061.324

Dinelson Lamet (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-22.811.313

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
L 5-11 at San Diego PadresARI: Corbin Martin • SDP: Chris Paddack+290
L 3-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • ARI: Caleb Smith+201
L 5-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • ARI: Zac Gallen+132
W 1-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brett Anderson • ARI: Merrill Kelly+115
L 9-8 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tony Gonsolin • ARI: Alex Young+165
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 5-11 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Corbin Martin • SDP: Chris Paddack-310
W 3-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Trevor Bauer • SDP: Joe Musgrove-110
W 2-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • SDP: Blake Snell+116
W 2-6 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urias • SDP: Yu Darvish-132
W 2-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • SDP: Dinelson Lamet-121

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • PTaylor Clarke10-day IL
  • PMatt PeacockOut
  • PSeth Frankoff60-day IL
  • CFKetel MarteUnknown
  • PMadison Bumgarner10-day IL
  • CCarson Kelly10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PPierce Johnson10-day IL
  • PDan Altavilla60-day IL
WNW 5 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)68°66°65°64°
Humidity74%78%83%79%
Precipitation1%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 5 mphWNW 5 mphWNW 4 mphW 3 mph
Lance Barksdale
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Strong Home UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+241+229+230+234+221+234+234-
Padres-270-258-280-261-261-261-258-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+258+240+233+235+233+230+240-
Padres-290-280-259-270-270-260-259-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +234 to +228
Padres ML moved from -250 to -258

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +248 to +235
Padres ML moved from -270 to -280

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½+108+1½-106+1½+115+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+115-
Padres-1½-128-1½-114-1½-135-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-114-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½+120+1½+120+1½+110+1½+110+1½+120+1½+110+1½+120-
Padres-1½-138-1½-140-1½-128-1½-130-1½-140-1½-130-1½-128-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-110o8-110o8-109o8-107o8-109o8-107-
Underu8+100u8-110u8-110u8-111u8-113u8-111u8-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-120o7½-125o7½-120o8-115o8-105o7½-120-
Underu8-105u7½+100u7½+105u7½+100u8-105u8-115u8-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+101 to o8-110
The Under moved from u7½-104 to u7½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u8-105 to u7½-105