Red Sox at Braves

Updated
Rank15
R/G4.8
RA/G3.6
40.7%59.3%
Red Sox WinBraves Win
3.80Projected Runs 4.77
3Final Score 9
Rank1
R/G5.8
RA/G4.0
Rank15
R/G4.8
RA/G3.6
Rank1
R/G5.8
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-24.991.304

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-33.381.442

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 1-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesBOS: Tanner Houck • PHI: Taijuan Walker+110
W 7-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesBOS: Corey Kluber • PHI: Bailey Falter+143
W 5-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesBOS: Chris Sale • PHI: Zack Wheeler+148
W 5-11 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • BOS: Brayan Bello+185
W 3-8 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Alek Manoah • BOS: Nick Pivetta+132
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Tyler Wells • ATL: Bryce Elder-150
W 4-5 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Kyle Bradish • ATL: Spencer Strider-234
L 9-4 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • ATL: Max Fried-210
W 6-3 at Miami MarlinsATL: Dylan Dodd • MIA: Jesús Luzardo+102
W 14-6 at Miami MarlinsATL: Kyle Wright • MIA: Braxton Garrett-134

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PGarrett WhitlockUnknown
  • PJames PaxtonUnknown
  • LFAdam Duvall10-day IL
  • LFZack Kelly60-day IL
  • 3BYu Chang10-day IL
  • 2BTrevor StoryOut

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PLucas LuetgeUnknown
  • PMax FriedUnknown
  • PKyle WrightUnknown
  • CTravis D'ArnaudUnknown
  • PIan AndersonOut for Season
  • 3BOrlando ArciaUnknown
WNW 8 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)80°77°75°73°
Humidity60%65%70%74%
Precipitation30%0%0%0%
ConditionThunderstormsPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWNW 8 mphNW 6 mphNW 5 mphWNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+152+163+153+163+166+163+166+168.1
Braves-165-176-185-177-176-177-176-168.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+150+170+163+158+161+160+170+168.1
Braves-178-185-180-190-177-190-177-168.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Braves ML moved from -170 to -176

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Braves ML moved from -178 to -190

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-130+1½-123+1½-125+1½-123+1½-125+1½-123+1½-123+1½-112
Braves-1½+110-1½+107-1½+105-1½+103-1½+105-1½+103-1½+107-1½+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-120+1½-112
Braves-1½+110-1½+105-1½+107-1½+105-1½+105-1½+100-1½+107-1½+112

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-125o9½-118o9½-125o10-101o9½-120o10-101o10-101o10+108
Underu9+105u9½+102u9½+105u10-119u9½+100u10-119u9½+105u10-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o10-105o9½-115o9½-120o10-105o9½-115o9½-115o10+108
Underu9-100u10-115u9½-105u9½+100u10-115u9½-105u9½+100u10-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-113 to o9½-118
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-120 to o9½-125
The Under moved from u9½+105 to u10-115