Marlins at Phillies

Updated
Rank28
R/G3.7
RA/G5.7
41.6%58.4%
Marlins WinPhillies Win
3.71Projected Runs 4.60
1Final Score 7
Rank4
R/G5.0
RA/G3.7
Rank28
R/G3.7
RA/G5.7
Rank4
R/G5.0
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Braxton Garrett (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
309-73.661.146

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3212-94.461.151

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 1-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Jesús Luzardo • PHI: Zack Wheeler+148
L 0-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIA: Ryan Weathers • PIT: Andre Jackson+125
W 7-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIA: JT Chargois • PIT: Quinn Priester-130
W 4-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIA: Edward Cabrera • PIT: Osvaldo Bido-138
W 4-2 at New York MetsMIA: Johnny Cueto • NYM: Kodai Senga+139
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesús Luzardo • PHI: Zack Wheeler-157
W 9-1 at New York MetsPHI: Matt Strahm • NYM: José Butto+110
L 4-11 at New York MetsPHI: Michael Plassmeyer • NYM: José Quintana+118
L 3-4 at New York MetsPHI: Taijuan Walker • NYM: Tylor Megill-105
L 3-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Luis Ortiz • PHI: Zack Wheeler-245

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PEury Perez15-day IL
  • PTommy Nance60-day IL
  • PSandy Alcantara15-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PDylan Covey15-day IL
  • PDylan Covey15-day IL
  • CFBrandon MarshRest
S 5 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
WindO/U Effect
To LeftVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)73°71°68°66°
Humidity65%70%73%74%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindS 5 mphS 5 mphS 4 mphSSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+124+135+129+138+140+138+140+142.8
Phillies-135-145-154-150-150-150-145-142.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+141+138+132+130+135+134+138+142.8
Phillies-155-148-145-155-147-158-145-142.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +138 to +128
Phillies ML moved from -152 to -158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +138 to +126
Phillies ML moved from -148 to -158

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-170+1½-163+1½-170+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-148
Phillies-1½+150-1½+147-1½+145-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+147-1½+148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-154+1½-160+1½-167+1½-170+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-148
Phillies-1½+135-1½+140-1½+148-1½+143-1½+135-1½+140-1½+148-1½+148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-103o8-105o7½-116o8-105o7½-116o7½-116o7½-105
Underu8-115u8-113u8-115u7½-104u8-115u7½-104u8-113u7½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o8-105o8-105o8-115o8-115o8-110o8-105o7½-105
Underu7½+100u8-115u8-115u8-105u8-105u8-110u8-105u7½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-108 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
No Steam Moves On Under