Reds at Cubs

Updated
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3
48.4%51.6%
Reds WinCubs Win
4.77Projected Runs 4.94
7Final Score 15
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
74-13.271.089

Kyle Hendricks (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
143-64.91.301

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 3-8 at Chicago CubsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele+124
W 5-3 at Chicago CubsCIN: Luis Castillo • CHC: Keegan Thompson+109
W 10-3 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Tyler Mahle • SFG: Anthony DeSclafani+145
L 2-9 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Mike Minor • SFG: Logan Webb+240
W 4-2 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • SFG: Alex Cobb+199
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 3-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele-132
L 5-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • CHC: Keegan Thompson-112
W 6-5 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Alec Mills • STL: Jack Flaherty+160
L 3-5 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Adrian Sampson • STL: Miles Mikolas+195
W 3-0 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • STL: Andre Pallante+159

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • RFTyler Naquin10-day IL
  • -Alexis DiazUnknown
  • PVladimir GutierrezUnknown
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
  • RFAristides Aquino10-day IL
  • PJeff Hoffman10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • 1BAlfonso RivasRest
  • PMarcus StromanUnknown
  • -Manuel Rodriguez60-day IL
  • PWade MileyUnknown
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • PDaniel NorrisUnknown
  • Drew SmylyUnknown
SW 13 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)85°83°81°79°
Humidity45%48%54%60%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSW 13 mphSW 12 mphSSW 12 mphSSW 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+105+105+114+118+116+114+118+118.7
Cubs-115-125-124-128-126-124-124-118.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+110+119+117+112+120+118+120+118.7
Cubs-120-129-128-125-130-128-125-118.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +115 to +108
Cubs ML moved from -120 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Cubs ML moved from -120 to -126

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-175+1½-170+1½-168+1½-170+1½-168+1½-168+1½-168+1½-154
Cubs-1½+150-1½+145-1½+148-1½+150-1½+148-1½+148-1½+150-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-176+1½-170+1½-168+1½-175+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-154
Cubs-1½+156-1½+150-1½+149-1½+155-1½+145-1½+145-1½+155-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½+100
Underu9½-120u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o10½-110o10½-110o10½+100o10½-120o10½-110o10½+100o10½+100
Underu9½-120u10½-110u10½-110u10½-120u10½+100u10½-110u10½+100u10½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-115
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-115 to o10½-115
The Under moved from u10½-105 to u10½-115