Cubs at Reds

Updated
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
49.4%50.6%
Cubs WinReds Win
4.76Projected Runs 4.83
2Final Score 3
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Javier Assad (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-23.621.546

Luis Cessa (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-44.761.348

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 1-3 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • CIN: Hunter Greene+110
W 1-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Chase Anderson • CHC: Marcus Stroman-175
W 1-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • CHC: Drew Smyly-135
W 1-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Adrian Sampson-152
W 0-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suarez • CHC: Javier Assad+165
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • CIN: Hunter Greene-110
L 1-8 at Chicago CubsCIN: Chase Anderson • CHC: Marcus Stroman+165
L 1-2 at Chicago CubsCIN: Nick Lodolo • CHC: Drew Smyly+134
L 1-6 at Chicago CubsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Adrian Sampson+147
L 3-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Luis Cessa • PIT: Bryse Wilson+108

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJustin SteeleUnknown
  • CP.J. HigginsRest
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • LFRafael OrtegaOut for Season
  • PWade MileyQuestionable

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CFNick SenzelOut for Season
  • LFT.J. Friedl10-day IL
  • PJustin DunnUnknown
  • PMike MinorUnknown
N 5 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
To RightSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)70°65°61°58°
Humidity34%41%47%52%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 5 mphN 4 mphNNW 4 mphN 4 mph
Phil Cuzzi
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+105-112-115-113-113-113-112-106.7
Reds-115+104-105+103+103+103+104+106.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+103-116-112-115-110-112-110-106.7
Reds-113+106+102+105+100+102+106+106.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -103 to -110
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -102 to -109
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-205+1½-197+1½-220+1½-215+1½-215+1½-215+1½-197+1½-186
Reds-1½+175-1½+173-1½+180-1½+185-1½+185-1½+185-1½+185-1½+186
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-200+1½-210+1½-215+1½-215+1½-215+1½-210+1½-210+1½-186
Reds-1½+175-1½+180-1½+189-1½+185-1½+185-1½+185-1½+189-1½+186

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8½-113o8½-110o8½-116o8½-116o8½-116o8½-110o8½-109
Underu8+100u8½-103u8½-110u8½-104u8½-104u8½-104u8½-103u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-125o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8½-120u8½+105u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+105u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-116 to o8½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
No Steam Moves On Under