Red Sox at Astros

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
41.8%58.2%
Red Sox WinAstros Win
3.25Projected Runs 4.11
2Final Score 9
Rank24
R/G4.6
RA/G5.1
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
Rank24
R/G4.6
RA/G5.1

Pitching

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Hunter Brown (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-01.07.7

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 1-8 at Houston AstrosBOS: Ranger Suárez • HOU: Lance McCullers-126
L 2-3 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Connelly Early • CIN: Rhett Lowder-128
L 5-6 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Sonny Gray • CIN: Brady Singer-128
W 3-0 at Cincinnati RedsBOS: Garrett Crochet • CIN: Andrew Abbott-150
L 1-10 at Atlanta BravesBOS: Unknown • ATL: Unknown+145
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 1-8 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Ranger Suárez • HOU: Lance McCullers+120
W 7-9 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jack Kochanowicz • HOU: Tatsuya Imai-165
W 9-11 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Reid Detmers • HOU: Cristian Javier-131
L 6-2 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Yusei Kikuchi • HOU: Mike Burrows-166
L 3-0 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jose Soriano • HOU: Hunter Brown-171

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 1BRomy Gonzalez60-day IL
  • 2BAnthony Seigler10-day IL
  • PKutter Crawford15-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval15-day IL
  • 1BTriston Casas10-day IL
  • PTanner Houck60-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • LFZach Dezenzo10-day IL
  • -Nate Pearson15-day IL
  • PRonel Blanco15-day IL
  • -Josh Hader15-day IL
  • PBrandon Walter60-day IL
  • -Enyel De Los Santos15-day IL
  • PHayden Wesneski60-day IL
  • -Bennett Sousa15-day IL
SSE 11 mph
Daikin Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)80°77°75°74°
Humidity64%72%79%83%
Precipitation0%0%0%27%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearPartly Cloudy
WindSSE 11 mphSSE 10 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+136+122+124+121+127+121+127+126.2
Astros-150-133-148-133-137-133-133-126.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+128+130+122+125+129+124+130+126.2
Astros-144-140-136-140-145-138-136-126.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +129 to +122
Astros ML moved from -133 to -139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 60.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +132 to +125
No Steam Moves On Astros ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-175+1½-182+1½-185+1½-190+1½-180+1½-190+1½-180+1½-174
Astros-1½+153-1½+160-1½+160-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-175+1½-170+1½-200+1½-180+1½-175+1½-190+1½-170+1½-174
Astros-1½+150-1½+150-1½+175-1½+160-1½+150-1½+165-1½+175-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-105o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½-105o7½+100
Underu7½-105u7½-108u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-108u7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-115o7½-110o7½-120o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½+100
Underu7½-105u7½-105u7½-110u7½+100u7½-105u7½-110u7½+100u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-117
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under