Tigers at Twins

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G3.7
48.1%51.9%
Tigers WinTwins Win
4.27Projected Runs 4.47
6Final Score 1
Rank7
R/G4.8
RA/G4.2
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G3.7
Rank7
R/G4.8
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Casey Mize (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-04.111.174

Louie Varland (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-38.362.071

Last 5 Games

Detroit Tigers
Money Line
L 3-4 at Minnesota TwinsDET: Reese Olson • MIN: Bailey Ober+132
W 5-4 at Minnesota TwinsDET: Jack Flaherty • MIN: Joe Ryan+145
L 9-7 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jack Leiter • DET: Kenta Maeda+102
L 5-4 vs Texas RangersTEX: Dane Dunning • DET: Tarik Skubal-142
W 2-4 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jon Gray • DET: Casey Mize+114
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Reese Olson • MIN: Bailey Ober-138
L 5-4 vs Detroit TigersDET: Jack Flaherty • MIN: Joe Ryan-150
L 2-4 at Baltimore OriolesMIN: Pablo López • BAL: Albert Suarez +107
L 3-11 at Baltimore OriolesMIN: Chris Paddack • BAL: Grayson Rodriguez+152
L 4-7 at Baltimore OriolesMIN: Louie Varland • BAL: Cole Irvin+119

Injuries

Detroit Tigers

Status
  • 2BAndy Ibanez10-day IL
  • 3BGio Urshela10-day IL
  • PSawyer Gipson-LongOut for Season

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PZack Weiss60-day IL
  • PJustin Topa15-day IL
  • 3BRoyce Lewis10-day IL
  • PJhoan Duran15-day IL
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • -Daniel Duarte15-day IL
  • PAnthony DeSclafani60-day IL
  • PJosh Winder60-day IL
  • SSCarlos Correa10-day IL
WNW 10 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)57°59°59°60°
Humidity31%30%29%28%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 10 mphWNW 11 mphWNW 11 mphWNW 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+105+110+105+108+109+108+110+112.6
Twins-115-120-125-118-119-118-118-112.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers-102+112+106+106+108+106+112+112.6
Twins-108-122-116-121-118-116-116-112.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +100 to -104
Twins ML moved from -115 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +112 to +106
Twins ML moved from -115 to -125

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-225+1½-197+1½-210+1½-197+1½-200+1½-197+1½-197+1½-180
Twins-1½+185-1½+173-1½+175-1½+172-1½+170-1½+172-1½+175-1½+180
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-215+1½-200+1½-200+1½-200+1½-200+1½-190+1½-200+1½-180
Twins-1½+185-1½+175-1½+176-1½+170-1½+175-1½+165-1½+176-1½+180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8+102o8-105o8+100o8-105o8+100o8+102o8+109
Underu8½-120u8-118u8-115u8-120u8-115u8-120u8-115u8-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8+100o8+102o8+100o8-110o8+100o8+102o8+109
Underu8½-120u8-120u8-122u8-120u8-110u8-120u8-110u8-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120