Diamondbacks at Padres

Updated
Rank18
R/G5.7
RA/G4.4
37.3%62.7%
Diamondbacks WinPadres Win
2.87Projected Runs 4.20
3Final Score 2
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
Rank18
R/G5.7
RA/G4.4
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-12.290.966

Chris Paddack (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-13.181.015

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
L 0-3 at San Diego PadresARI: Luke Weaver • SDP: Zach Davies+115
W 4-5 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Brandon Bielak • ARI: Zac Gallen-113
W 7-14 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Lance McCullers • ARI: Robbie Ray+130
L 8-2 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Cristian Javier • ARI: Madison Bumgarner+125
L 3-0 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • ARI: Merrill Kelly+175
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Luke Weaver • SDP: Zach Davies-120
L 7-6 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Ross Stripling • SDP: Garrett Richards+115
L 5-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Dustin May • SDP: Dinelson Lamet+110
W 4-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Walker Buehler • SDP: Chris Paddack+128
L 6-9 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Zach Davies • COL: Antonio Senzatela-115

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • 1BChristian WalkerRest
  • PCorbin Martin10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • 1BEric HosmerUnknown
  • PTrey Wingenter60-day IL
  • 2BJurickson ProfarRest
  • PJose Castillo10-day IL
WNW 9 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°71°69°67°
Humidity68%72%77%90%
Precipitation1%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 9 mphNW 8 mphNW 8 mphNW 7 mph
Tom Woodring
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+145+166+167+170+160+167+170-
Padres-157-192-182-180-180-182-180-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+145+170+163+160+160+165+170-
Padres-155-190-180-175-180-180-175-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +165 to +159
Padres ML moved from -179 to -185

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +152 to +143
Padres ML moved from -184 to -190

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-145+1½-120+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-120-
Padres-1½+125-1½+100-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-150+1½-125+1½-127+1½-135+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120-
Padres-1½+130-1½+105-1½+109-1½+115-1½+100-1½+105-1½+115-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½+105o7½+110o7½+105-o7½+110o7½+110-
Underu8-105u7½-125u7½-130u7½-125-u7½-130u7½-125-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-105o7½-103o7½-105o7½+105o7½-110o7½+105-
Underu7½+100u7½-115u7½-117u7½-115u7½-125u7½-110u7½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7½-117 to u7½-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-115