Twins at Rays

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(6-11)
Rank16
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
40.8%59.2%
Twins WinRays Win
4.35Projected Runs 5.31
3Final Score 5

Tampa Bay Rays

(11-9)
Rank13
R/G4.2
RA/G5.0
Rank16
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.2
RA/G5.0

Pitching

Randy Dobnak (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-67.831.649

Michael Wacha (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
182-45.71.489

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • MIN: Joe Ryan-174
L 3-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Zach Davies • MIN: John Gant-145
W 3-2 at Detroit TigersMIN: Bailey Ober • DET: Casey Mize-124
L 6-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • MIN: Griffin Jax+142
W 4-6 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • MIN: Charlie Barnes+137
Tampa Bay Rays
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Eduardo Rodriguez • TBR: Shane McClanahan-158
L 3-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Chris Sale • TBR: Drew Rasmussen-114
W 5-8 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brad Peacock • TBR: Ryan Yarbrough-154
W 1-6 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • TBR: Luis Patino-140
W 12-8 at Baltimore OriolesTBR: Chris Archer • BAL: Spenser Watkins-234

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • RFAlex KirilloffOut for Season
  • CMitch Garver10-day IL
  • PKenta MaedaOut for Season
  • PMichael Pineda10-day IL
  • CFRob RefsnyderRest
  • PLuke Farrell60-day IL
  • PLewis Thorpe10-day IL

Tampa Bay Rays

Status
  • 1BJi-Man Choi10-day IL
  • PChris Mazza10-day IL
  • SSWander FrancoUnknown
  • CFBrett Phillips 10-day IL
  • PMatt Wisler10-day IL
  • PBrendan McKayOut
  • PDJ Johnson60-day IL
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+170+180+173+177+168+173+180-
Rays-185-210-188-187-188-188-187-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+160+170+172+170+172+173+173-
Rays-175-185-190-190-190-188-185-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 30.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 20.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +181 to +174
Rays ML moved from -195 to -208

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +181 to +172
Rays ML moved from -183 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-120+1½-115+1½-115+1½-120+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115-
Rays-1½+100-1½-105-1½-105-1½+100-1½-105-1½-105-1½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-120+1½-115+1½-118+1½-120+1½-115+1½-125+1½-115-
Rays-1½-100-1½-105-1½+100-1½+100-1½-105-1½+105-1½+105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+105o9-120o9-115o9-120o9-115o9-115o9-115-
Underu9-125u9+100u9-105u9+100u9-105u9-105u9+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-100o9-115o9-115o9-110o9-105o9-110o9-105-
Underu9-120u9-105u9-105u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9-106 to u9-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115
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