Blue Jays at Pirates

Updated

Toronto Blue Jays

(10-9)
Rank11
R/G3.8
RA/G4.7
55.9%44.1%
Blue Jays WinPirates Win
5.11Projected Runs 4.48
10Final Score 1

Pittsburgh Pirates

(11-8)
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G3.8
RA/G4.7
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Yusei Kikuchi (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
64-04.021.245

Roansy Contreras (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-24.091.424

Last 5 Games

Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
W 8-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesTOR: José Berríos • PIT: Johan Oviedo-130
W 4-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesTOR: Chris Bassitt • PIT: Rich Hill-157
L 5-11 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Kevin Gausman • BOS: Brayan Bello-200
L 3-8 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Alek Manoah • BOS: Nick Pivetta-140
L 6-7 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • BOS: Tanner Houck-126
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 8-2 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: José Berríos • PIT: Johan Oviedo+127
L 4-0 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • PIT: Rich Hill+152
L 2-3 at Tampa Bay RaysPIT: Vince Velasquez • TBR: Zach Eflin+172
L 1-8 at Tampa Bay RaysPIT: Mitch Keller • TBR: Shane McClanahan+190
L 1-4 at Tampa Bay RaysPIT: Roansy Contreras • TBR: Javy Guerra+148

Injuries

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • 1BVladimir Guerrero Jr.Rest

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • SSO'Neil Cruz60-day IL
  • PJT BrubakerOut for Season
  • PWil Crowe60-day IL
  • CFAndrew McCutchenRest
  • PVince VelasquezUnknown
  • 1BJi-Man Choi60-day IL
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-141-126-135-129-127-129-126-123.4
Pirates+130+117+113+119+117+119+119+123.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-130-128-126-135-125-132-125-123.4
Pirates+110+118+115+115+115+112+118+123.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Blue Jays: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from -124 to -134
Pirates ML moved from +122 to +108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Blue Jays: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from -128 to -134
Pirates ML moved from +126 to +120

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-1½+120-1½+127-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+127-1½+128
Pirates+1½-140+1½-143+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-1½+120-1½+125-1½+126-1½+122-1½+125-1½+125-1½+126-1½+128
Pirates+1½-140+1½-145+1½-144+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-144+1½-128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-123o8½-120o9+100o9+100o9+100o8½-120o9+109
Underu9-115u8½+107u8½+100u9-120u9-120u9-120u8½+107u9-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o9+109
Underu9-115u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u9-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½+100
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