Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank24
R/G6.0
RA/G5.0
33.6%66.4%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
3.43Projected Runs 5.13
1Final Score 6
Rank18
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank24
R/G6.0
RA/G5.0
Rank18
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Zach Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
213-105.331.538

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
134-33.691.074

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 4-2 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Jason Alexander+160
L 5-7 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Bryse Wilson • MIL: Corbin Burnes+280
W 5-0 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Roansy Contreras • PHI: Noah Syndergaard+220
L 0-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Tyler Beede • PHI: Kyle Gibson+250
L 4-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Bryse Wilson • PHI: Bailey Falter+235
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • MIL: Jason Alexander-169
W 5-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bryse Wilson • MIL: Corbin Burnes-310
W 7-9 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adrian Sampson • MIL: Eric Lauer-165
W 0-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • MIL: Brandon Woodruff-185
L 4-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • MIL: Freddy Peralta-151

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PDavid BednarUnknown
  • -Yerry De Los Santos60-day IL
  • CRoberto PerezOut for Season
  • 2BDiego CastilloRest
  • PBlake Cederlind60-day IL
  • PColin HoldermanUnknown
  • PDillon PetersUnknown

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • 1BRowdy TellezUnknown
  • DHAndrew McCutchenRest
  • 3BMichael Brosseau10-day IL
  • PTrevor GottUnknown
  • PAaron AshbyUnknown
  • LFJonathan Davis10-day IL
  • CAlex Jackson60-day IL
WNW 12 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)80°81°82°83°
Humidity55%52%51%51%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 12 mphWNW 12 mphWNW 12 mphWNW 12 mph
Mark Carlson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+208+236+225+242+231+242+242+240.6
Brewers-230-266-280-271-271-271-266-240.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+200+220+237+222+233+240+240+240.6
Brewers-250-260-265-278-270-270-260-240.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pirates ML
Brewers ML moved from -270 to -280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +240 to +230
Brewers ML moved from -260 to -270

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+100+1½+122+1½+120+1½+123+1½+123+1½+123+1½+123+1½+124
Brewers-1½-120-1½-138-1½-140-1½-143-1½-143-1½-143-1½-138-1½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-100+1½+115+1½+117+1½+115+1½+125+1½+125+1½+125+1½+124
Brewers-1½-120-1½-135-1½-135-1½-135-1½-145-1½-145-1½-135-1½-124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½+102o8½+100o8½-101o8½-101o8½-101o8½+102o8½+109
Underu8½-110u8½-118u8½-120u8½-119u8½-119u8½-119u8½-118u8½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½-105o8½+100o8½+100o8½+109
Underu8½-110u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-115u8½-120u8½-115u8½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120