Guardians at Twins

Updated
Rank22
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
47.6%52.4%
Guardians WinTwins Win
4.20Projected Runs 4.46
0Final Score 1
Rank11
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank22
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank11
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Zach Plesac (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
122-44.411.277

Devin Smeltzer (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-13.521.148

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 11-10 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Sonny Gray+138
W 6-5 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Joe Ryan+145
W 5-3 at Los Angeles DodgersCLE: Shane Bieber • LAD: Andrew Heaney+160
L 1-7 at Los Angeles DodgersCLE: Cal Quantrill • LAD: Julio Urias+240
W 2-1 at Los Angeles DodgersCLE: Zach Plesac • LAD: Clayton Kershaw+240
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 11-10 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Sonny Gray-145
L 6-5 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Joe Ryan-151
L 1-7 at Arizona DiamondbacksMIN: Chris Archer • ARI: Merrill Kelly-120
W 11-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksMIN: Dylan Bundy • ARI: Luke Weaver-108
L 2-7 at Arizona DiamondbacksMIN: Devin Smeltzer • ARI: Madison Bumgarner-129

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL
  • SSRoyce LewisOut for Season
  • PCody Stashak60-day IL
  • PBailey OberUnknown
  • CFByron BuxtonUnknown
  • CFKyle Garlick10-day IL
  • PDanny CoulombeUnknown
SSW 12 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)88°90°91°92°
Humidity36%35%35%33%
Precipitation0%1%1%0%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyClearClear
WindSSW 12 mphSSW 13 mphSSW 14 mphSSW 16 mph
D.J. Reyburn
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+140+113+123+120+123+123+123+123.5
Twins-150-135-133-130-133-133-130-123.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+128+118+119+120+125+118+125+123.5
Twins-138-128-130-130-135-128-128-123.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +127 to +121
Twins ML moved from -130 to -138

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Guardians: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +127 to +120
Twins ML moved from -130 to -138

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-150+1½-160+1½-167+1½-160+1½-167+1½-167+1½-160+1½-149
Twins-1½+130-1½+135-1½+147-1½+140-1½+147-1½+147-1½+147-1½+149
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-150+1½-155+1½-157+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-149
Twins-1½+130-1½+135-1½+138-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+140-1½+149

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o10-105o10-115o10-110o10-115o10-115o10-105o10+100
Underu9-110u10-115u10-105u10-110u10-105u10-105u10-105u10+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-120o10-110o10-110o10-110o10-120o10-105o10-105o10+100
Underu9½+100u10-110u10-110u10-110u10+100u10-115u10+100u10+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-108 to o10-115
The Under moved from u9½+105 to u9½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-110 to o10-120
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-115