Royals at Guardians

Updated
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G3.9
47.2%52.8%
Royals WinGuardians Win
3.79Projected Runs 4.09
2Final Score 3
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G3.9
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Stephen Kolek (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
165-53.881.241

Gavin Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2810-53.171.294

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 4-3 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Jonathan Bowlan • CLE: Logan Allen-105
L 0-2 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Noah Cameron • CLE: Joey Cantillo-101
L 2-10 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Ryan Bergert • CLE: Slade Cecconi+102
L 5-1 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • KCR: Michael Lorenzen-114
W 2-11 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • KCR: Stephen Kolek+112
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Jonathan Bowlan • CLE: Logan Allen-104
W 0-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Noah Cameron • CLE: Joey Cantillo-103
W 2-10 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Ryan Bergert • CLE: Slade Cecconi-108
W 2-1 at Tampa Bay RaysCLE: Parker Messick • TBR: Drew Rasmussen+146
W 3-2 at Tampa Bay RaysCLE: Tanner Bibee • TBR: Shane Baz+126

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PSeth Lugo15-day IL
  • PMichael WachaUnknown
  • PBailey Falter15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PLuis OrtizOut for Season
  • SSGabriel AriasRest
  • PEmmanuel ClaseOut for Season
NNE 5 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)71°68°66°64°
Humidity58%64%67%73%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 5 mphNNE 4 mphNE 4 mphENE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+122+123+116+120+121+120+123+125.2
Guardians-135-133-139-132-131-132-131-125.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+125+120+123+120+120+124+124+125.2
Guardians-140-135-137-135-135-134-134-125.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +125 to +118
Guardians ML moved from -134 to -142

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Royals ML
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-180+1½-173+1½-180+1½-177+1½-175+1½-177+1½-173+1½-163
Guardians-1½+155-1½+157-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+157-1½+163
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-175+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-163
Guardians-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+163

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-103o7½-105o7½-105o7½-110o7½-105o7½-103o7½+104
Underu7½+100u7½-113u7½-115u7½-115u7½-110u7½-115u7½-110u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-105o7½-110o7½-105o7½-105o7½-110o7½-105o7½+104
Underu7½+100u7½-115u7½-110u7½-115u7½-115u7½-110u7½-110u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-115