Red Sox at Padres

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
47.2%52.8%
Red Sox WinPadres Win
4.28Projected Runs 4.57
6Final Score 1
Rank9
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
Rank9
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6

Pitching

James Paxton (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-03.61.0

Blake Snell (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-54.611.537

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 3-12 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Marco Gonzales • BOS: Brayan Bello-122
W 4-9 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Luis Castillo • BOS: Nick Pivetta+140
L 10-1 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • BOS: Tanner Houck+106
L 9-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • BOS: Corey Kluber+100
L 4-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Steven Matz • BOS: Chris Sale-131
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Carlos Hernández • SDP: Yu Darvish-262
L 5-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • SDP: Seth Lugo-190
W 0-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brad Keller • SDP: Michael Wacha-225
L 0-4 at Los Angeles DodgersSDP: Ryan Weathers • LAD: Tony Gonsolin+140
L 2-4 at Los Angeles DodgersSDP: Joe Musgrove • LAD: Julio Urias+133

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PGarrett WhitlockUnknown
  • 2BChristian Arroyo10-day IL
  • PKutter CrawfordUnknown
  • 1BTriston CasasRest
  • 3BYu Chang10-day IL
  • RFAlex VerdugoUnknown
  • PJohn SchreiberUnknown

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PNabil CrismattUnknown
  • PSeth LugoUnknown
  • RFJose Azocar10-day IL
  • 3BManny MachadoOut
WSW 6 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)65°64°63°62°
Humidity72%75%78%81%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWSW 6 mphW 5 mphW 4 mphW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+130+137+130+135+138+135+138+139.5
Padres-140-147-155-146-148-146-146-139.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+126+138+135+122+133+133+138+139.5
Padres-150-148-148-145-145-156-145-139.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +128 to +120
Padres ML moved from -135 to -141

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +135 to +129
Padres ML moved from -138 to -145

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-150+1½-148+1½-150+1½-158+1½-145+1½-158+1½-145+1½-146
Padres-1½+130-1½+132-1½+130-1½+138-1½+125-1½+138-1½+138-1½+146
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-160+1½-165+1½-150+1½-165+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-146
Padres-1½+135-1½+145-1½+131-1½+140-1½+130-1½+130-1½+145-1½+146

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-103o8-120o8-119o8-120o8-119o8-119o8-108
Underu9-120u8½-113u8+100u8-101u8+100u8-101u8½-113u8+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-120o8-115o8-115o8-120o8½-105o8-115o8-108
Underu8½-105u8+100u8-105u8-105u8+100u8½-115u8½-115u8+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-112 to o8-119
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8+110 to u8½-115