Red Sox at Twins

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
47.7%52.3%
Red Sox WinTwins Win
4.57Projected Runs 4.81
2Final Score 4
Rank15
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
Rank15
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
40-37.362.091

Dylan Bundy (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
227-64.561.206

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 12-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Corey Kluber • BOS: Nick Pivetta-102
W 1-5 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Jeffrey Springs • BOS: Rich Hill+115
W 8-9 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: JT Chargois • BOS: Michael Wacha-114
L 6-5 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • BOS: Kutter Crawford+160
L 3-2 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Jose Berrios • BOS: Brayan Bello+142
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 3-8 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Jakob Junis • MIN: Aaron Sanchez-105
W 2-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Cobb • MIN: Sonny Gray-130
W 0-9 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Wood • MIN: Joe Ryan-123
L 3-6 at Houston AstrosMIN: Chris Archer • HOU: Luis Garcia+148
L 3-5 at Houston AstrosMIN: Dylan Bundy • HOU: Framber Valdez+213

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 1BEric Hosmer10-day IL
  • PChris Sale60-day IL
  • PNathan EovaldiUnknown
  • CFEnrique HernandezRest
  • PTanner HouckUnknown

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PCole SandsUnknown
  • 2BJorge PolancoRest
  • PTyler MahleUnknown
  • PJorge AlcalaOut for Season
  • DHGary SanchezRest
  • LFAlex Kirilloff60-day IL
  • CFByron Buxton10-day IL
  • SSRoyce LewisOut for Season
WNW 12 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)78°76°74°72°
Humidity44%48%54%60%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWNW 12 mphWNW 11 mphWNW 9 mphWNW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+143+101-110-103-103-103+101+104.8
Twins-155-109-110-107-107-107-107-104.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+125+100+102+100+107-101+107+104.8
Twins-137-110-112-110-117-109-109-104.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +101 to -102
No Steam Moves On Twins ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Red Sox: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 50.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +101 to -101
Twins ML moved from -115 to -125

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-150+1½-188+1½-195+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-188+1½-169
Twins-1½+130-1½+167-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+167-1½+169
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-148+1½-180+1½-185+1½-185+1½-185+1½-185+1½-180+1½-169
Twins-1½+130-1½+160-1½+163-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+169

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8½-123o8½-125o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-109
Underu9-110u8½+107u8½+105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½+107u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-109
Underu9-115u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-125 to u8½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-110 to u8½-105