Reds at Pirates

Updated
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4
45.0%55.0%
Reds WinPirates Win
4.22Projected Runs 4.75
1Final Score 2
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4
Rank20
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Luis Cessa (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-213.52.75

Rich Hill (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-25.571.333

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 2-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Graham Ashcraft • PIT: Mitch Keller+132
L 3-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Luke Weaver • PIT: Roansy Contreras+158
L 8-0 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Drew Rasmussen • CIN: Levi Stoudt+240
L 10-0 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Taj Bradley • CIN: Nick Lodolo+116
W 1-8 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Jalen Beeks • CIN: Hunter Greene+143
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • PIT: Mitch Keller-139
W 3-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luke Weaver • PIT: Roansy Contreras-161
W 14-3 at Colorado RockiesPIT: Johan Oviedo • COL: Austin Gomber-125
W 5-3 at Colorado RockiesPIT: Vince Velasquez • COL: José Ureña+102
W 14-3 at Colorado RockiesPIT: Rich Hill • COL: Kyle Freeland+128

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • PConnor OvertonUnknown
  • PJustin Dunn60-day IL
  • PTony SantillanUnknown
  • PHunter GreeneQuestionable
  • PTejay Antone60-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 1BJi-Man Choi10-day IL
  • PJT BrubakerOut for Season
  • PChase De JongUnknown
  • CEndy RodriguezOut
  • SSO'Neil Cruz60-day IL
  • PJarlin Garcia60-day IL
WSW 7 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)58°56°54°53°
Humidity54%57%60%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWSW 7 mphWSW 9 mphWSW 6 mphW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+115+144+139+142+142+142+144+146.7
Pirates-125-154-165-154-152-154-152-146.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+130+152+150+135+149+145+152+146.7
Pirates-140-165-165-160-163-160-160-146.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +130 to +121
Pirates ML moved from -153 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 50.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Pirates ML moved from -155 to -161

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-175+1½-143+1½-145+1½-144+1½-150+1½-144+1½-143+1½-132
Pirates-1½+155-1½+127-1½+125-1½+124-1½+130-1½+124-1½+130-1½+132
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-160+1½-140+1½-135+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-135+1½-132
Pirates-1½+140-1½+120-1½+117-1½+122-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+132

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9-113o9-120o9-120o9-115o9-120o9-113o9-109
Underu8½-110u9-103u9+100u9+100u9-105u9+100u9+100u9+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-120o9-120o9½+105o9-120o9-110o9-120o9-110o9-109
Underu10+100u9+100u9½-125u9+100u9-110u9+100u9+100u9+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-125