Red Sox at Guardians

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G3.5
50.9%49.1%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
4.28Projected Runs 4.17
1Final Score 4
Rank10
R/G5.1
RA/G3.8
Rank13
R/G4.7
RA/G3.5
Rank10
R/G5.1
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
43-11.350.9

Ben Lively (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-13.60.8

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 6-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Josh Winckowski • PIT: Martín Pérez+138
W 4-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Kutter Crawford • PIT: Mitch Keller+105
W 8-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Brayan Bello • PIT: Quinn Priester+104
L 5-4 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Carlos Carrasco • BOS: Brennan Bernardino+102
W 0-2 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Ben Lively • BOS: Tanner Houck-127
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 2-6 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Ross Stripling • CLE: Tanner Bibee-160
W 3-6 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Alex Wood • CLE: Logan Allen-176
W 2-10 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Joe Boyle • CLE: Triston McKenzie-157
W 5-4 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Carlos Carrasco • BOS: Brennan Bernardino-107
L 0-2 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Ben Lively • BOS: Tanner Houck+123

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CTyler Heineman10-day IL
  • PIsaiah Campbell15-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock10-day IL
  • -Bryan Mata15-day IL
  • 1BTriston Casas10-day IL
  • 2BRomy Gonzalez10-day IL
  • PChris MurphyOut for Season
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL
  • -Liam Hendriks60-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story60-day IL
  • PNick Pivetta15-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PSam Hentges15-day IL
  • -Trevor Stephan60-day IL
  • PJames Karinchak60-day IL
  • 2BAngel Martinez60-day IL
  • PShane BieberOut for Season
  • PGavin Williams15-day IL
  • PEli Morgan15-day IL
W 10 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)54°53°51°51°
Humidity77%80%83%84%
Precipitation47%52%61%59%
ConditionDrizzleDrizzleRainDrizzle
WindW 10 mphW 11 mphW 10 mphWSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-107+106+104+108+110+108+110+112.6
Guardians-103-116-124-118-120-118-116-112.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-117+110+112+107+111+110+112+112.6
Guardians+107-120-122-122-121-120-120-112.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -110
Guardians ML moved from -113 to -119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Guardians ML moved from -118 to -124

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+149+1½-188+1½-220+1½-195+1½-200+1½-195+1½-188+1½-178
Guardians+1½-169-1½+167-1½+180-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+180-1½+178
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+160+1½-185-1½+175-1½+170-1½+175+1½-190+1½-178
Guardians+1½-180-1½+165+1½-197+1½-200+1½-200-1½+165-1½+178

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-103o8-115o8-108o8-105o8-108o8-105o8+102
Underu8-105u8½-113u8-105u8-112u8-115u8-112u8½-113u8-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-115o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-120o8-115o8+102
Underu8+100u8-105u8-105u8+100u8-105u8+100u8+100u8-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+102 to o8½-113
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8+110 to u8½-115