Tigers at Pirates

Updated

Detroit Tigers

(14-10)
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G3.6
46.3%53.7%
Tigers WinPirates Win
4.49Projected Runs 4.87
11Final Score 5

Pittsburgh Pirates

(13-11)
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G3.6
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Ivan Nova (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-05.741.532

Derek Holland (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-18.271.531

Last 5 Games

Detroit Tigers
Money Line
W 17-13 at Pittsburgh PiratesDET: Matthew Boyd • PIT: Steven Brault-107
L 4-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Trevor Bauer • DET: Daniel Norris+174
L 4-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Anthony DeSclafani • DET: Rony Garcia+141
W 2-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • DET: Spencer Turnbull+165
L 5-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • DET: Ivan Nova+139
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 17-13 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matthew Boyd • PIT: Steven Brault+100
W 5-6 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • PIT: JT Brubaker+195
L 5-2 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Randy Dobnak • PIT: Trevor Williams+155
L 3-7 at Minnesota TwinsPIT: Joe Musgrove • MIN: Jose Berrios+180
L 4-5 at Minnesota TwinsPIT: Derek Holland • MIN: Lewis Thorpe+190

Injuries

Detroit Tigers

Status
  • 3BIsaac Paredes10-day IL
  • PJordan Zimmermann60-day IL
  • LFCameron Maybin10-day IL
  • SSSergio Alcantara10-day IL
  • PDario Agrazal10-day IL
  • CFDaz Cameron10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PMitch Keller10-day IL
  • PNick BurdiOut for Season
  • PMichael FelizOut for Season
  • PKeone Kela10-day IL
  • PClay Holmes10-day IL
  • CLuke Maile60-day IL
  • PKyle Crick10-day IL
  • 3BColin MoranRest
SW 7 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)87°86°86°85°
Humidity40%40%38%44%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSW 7 mphWSW 7 mphWSW 6 mphNW 5 mph
Jansen Visconti
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+108+117+124+123+123+124+124-
Pirates-118-137-134-133-133-134-133-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+100+126+124+128+125+125+128-
Pirates-110-136-136-138-135-135-135-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tigers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tigers ML
Pirates ML moved from -130 to -136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tigers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +129 to +123
Pirates ML moved from -135 to -145

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-200+1½-170+1½-165+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165-
Pirates-1½+170-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-190+1½-170+1½-163+1½-170+1½-165+1½-170+1½-163-
Pirates-1½+170-1½+150-1½+144-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-125-o9½+100o9½+100-o9½+100o9½+100-
Underu9+105-u9½-120u9½-120-u9½-120u9½-120-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9½+100o9½-105o9½+100o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100-
Underu9-110u9½-120u9½-115u9½-120u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-120
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