Cubs at Diamondbacks

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(18-11)
Rank10
R/G5.1
RA/G4.5
43.1%56.9%
Cubs WinDiamondbacks Win
4.10Projected Runs 4.82
3Final Score 2
Rank20
R/G5.3
RA/G4.4
Rank10
R/G5.1
RA/G4.5
Rank20
R/G5.3
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Ben Brown (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-06.11.452

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-02.290.915

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 3-2 at Seattle MarinersCHC: Javier Assad • SEA: Luis Castillo+133
W 4-1 at Seattle MarinersCHC: Shota Imanaga • SEA: Emerson Hancock-135
L 2-4 at Seattle MarinersCHC: Jordan Wicks • SEA: Bryce Miller+115
L 2-10 at San Diego PadresCHC: Kyle Hendricks • SDP: Dylan Cease+144
W 5-1 at San Diego PadresCHC: Ben Brown • SDP: Joe Musgrove+130
Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
W 0-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • ARI: Zac Gallen-131
W 2-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Kyle Gibson • ARI: Ryne Nelson-109
L 9-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Steven Matz • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt-118
W 5-3 at Colorado RockiesARI: Tommy Henry • COL: Austin Gomber-106
W 3-2 at Colorado RockiesARI: Merrill Kelly • COL: Cal Quantrill-158

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJustin Steele15-day IL
  • PJameson Taillon15-day IL
  • PCaleb Kilian60-day IL
  • 3BPatrick Wisdom10-day IL
  • PJulian Merryweather15-day IL
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • CFAlek Thomas10-day IL
  • PPaul Sewald15-day IL
  • SSGeraldo Perdomo10-day IL
  • PEduardo Rodriguez15-day IL
W 8 mph
Chase Field, Phoenix
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)76°74°72°69°
Humidity18%19%21%22%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 8 mphWSW 6 mphSW 5 mphSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+129+133+131+136+139+136+139+140.8
Diamondbacks-140-143-157-148-149-148-143-140.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+125+143+137+138+140+137+143+140.8
Diamondbacks-137-153-150-153-153-152-150-140.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 20.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +124 to +118
Diamondbacks ML moved from -150 to -157

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Cubs: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 50.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +126 to +120
Diamondbacks ML moved from -138 to -147

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-170+1½-143+1½-145+1½-148+1½-150+1½-148+1½-143+1½-136
Diamondbacks-1½+145-1½+127-1½+125-1½+128-1½+130-1½+128-1½+130-1½+136
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-165+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145+1½-136
Diamondbacks-1½+146-1½+125-1½+127-1½+125-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+136

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9-103o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-103o9+104
Underu9-120u9-113u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-113u9-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9+100o8½-130o8½-120o8½-120o9+100o8½-120o9+104
Underu8½+100u9-120u8½+110u8½+100u8½+100u9-120u8½+110u9-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o8½-130
The Under moved from u9-113 to u8½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o8½-130
No Steam Moves On Under