Phillies at Reds

Updated
Rank5
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
53.7%46.3%
Phillies WinReds Win
4.13Projected Runs 3.74
0Final Score 13
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4
Rank5
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Matt Strahm (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-00.00.7

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-02.081.077

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 8-3 at Cincinnati RedsPHI: Taijuan Walker • CIN: Connor Overton-145
L 2-6 at Cincinnati RedsPHI: Bailey Falter • CIN: Nick Lodolo+103
L 3-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Edward Cabrera • PHI: Zack Wheeler-187
L 8-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesus Luzardo • PHI: Aaron Nola-135
W 3-15 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • PHI: Matt Strahm+119
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 8-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Taijuan Walker • CIN: Connor Overton+138
W 2-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Bailey Falter • CIN: Nick Lodolo-108
L 4-5 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Hunter Greene • ATL: Spencer Strider+235
L 6-7 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Luis Cessa • ATL: Kyle Wright+213
L 4-5 at Atlanta BravesCIN: Graham Ashcraft • ATL: Bryce Elder+170

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CRafael Alejandro Marchon60-day IL
  • PCristopher SanchezUnknown
  • 1BRhys HoskinsOut for Season
  • PNoah SongUnknown
  • PNick NelsonUnknown
  • PRanger SuarezUnknown
  • 1BDarick Hall10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PConnor OvertonUnknown
  • PTony SantillanUnknown
  • PTejay Antone60-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • PJustin Dunn60-day IL
  • PLuke WeaverUnknown
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
WSW 7 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°79°78°77°
Humidity46%44%44%47%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWSW 7 mphWSW 7 mphSW 7 mphSW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-120-109-110-109-110-109-109-103.8
Reds+110+101-110-101+100-101+101+103.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-135-111-110-108-102-110-102-103.8
Reds+125+101+100-102-108+100+101+103.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -102 to -108
Reds ML moved from +100 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 60.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -102 to -111
Reds ML moved from +100 to -102

Run Lines

 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+135-1½+147+1½-210+1½-205+1½-210+1½-205+1½-185
Reds+1½-155+1½-163-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+185
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+115-1½+140+1½-206+1½-205+1½-200-1½+140+1½-185
Reds+1½-135+1½-160-1½+182-1½+170-1½+175+1½-160-1½+185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9½-113o9½-115o9½-115o9½-110o9½-115o9½-110o9½-104
Underu9½-115u9½-103u9½-105u9½-105u9½-110u9½-105u9½-103u9½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9½-115o9½-115o9½-120o9½-115o9½-115o9½-115o9½-104
Underu9-110u9½-105u9½-105u9½+100u9½-105u9½-105u9½+100u9½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-108 to o9½-113
The Under moved from u9½-103 to u9½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½+105 to u9½-105