Nationals at Mets

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
43.4%56.6%
Nationals WinMets Win
3.75Projected Runs 4.44
7Final Score 8
Rank12
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
Rank12
R/G4.7
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Paolo Espino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
93-33.661.101

Carlos Carrasco (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-03.241.08

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 4-5 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Patrick Corbin • ATL: Max Fried+190
W 3-2 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Josiah Gray • ATL: Charlie Morton+233
L 4-8 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Erick Fedde • ATL: Kyle Muller+181
L 7-6 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • WSN: Joe Ross+136
L 9-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Chase Anderson • WSN: Paolo Espino-109
New York Mets
Money Line
L 0-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesNYM: Taijuan Walker • PHI: Zack Wheeler+165
L 3-5 at Philadelphia PhilliesNYM: Tylor Megill • PHI: Ranger Suarez+105
L 2-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesNYM: Marcus Stroman • PHI: Kyle Gibson+108
L 2-4 at Miami MarlinsNYM: Rich Hill • MIA: Braxton Garrett-123
W 5-3 at Miami MarlinsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • MIA: Zach Thompson-147

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PStephen StrasburgOut for Season
  • PKyle McGowin10-day IL
  • RFJuan SotoUnknown
  • PAustin Voth10-day IL
  • SSJordy Mercer10-day IL
  • 2BStarlin CastroOut
  • CRene Rivera10-day IL

New York Mets

Status
  • PTrevor WilliamsQuestionable
  • SSJavier BaezUnknown
  • 2BLuis Guillorme10-day IL
  • PCorey Oswalt60-day IL
  • SSJose Peraza10-day IL
  • PStephen Nogosek10-day IL
  • PRobert Stock60-day IL
  • PDavid Peterson60-day IL
  • CFKevin PillarRest
  • SSFrancisco Lindor10-day IL
  • PJacob deGrom10-day IL
SSE 10 mph
Citi Field, Flushing
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)80°79°79°79°
Humidity80%83%83%82%
Precipitation14%15%23%7%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly Cloudy
WindSSE 10 mphS 9 mphS 9 mphSSE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+200-+185+196+190+196+196-
Mets-220--215-215-215-215-215-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+185+190+188+195+197+196+197-
Mets-205-220-208-215-220-216-208-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 40.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +195 to +185
Mets ML moved from -217 to -225

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 40.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +198 to +184
Mets ML moved from -216 to -230

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-115-+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110-
Mets-1½-105--1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-115+1½-110+1½-116+1½-110+1½-110+1½-115+1½-110-
Mets-1½-105-1½-110-1½-102-1½-110-1½-110-1½-105-1½-102-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+105-o8½-110o8½-117o8½-117o8½-117o8½-110-
Underu8½-125-u8½-110u8½-103u8½-103u8½-103u8½-103-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105-
Underu8½-110u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½-115u8½-110u8½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-108 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115