Cubs at Phillies

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(42-27)
Rank5
R/G5.5
RA/G4.0
48.9%51.1%
Cubs WinPhillies Win
4.72Projected Runs 4.83
2Final Score 7

Philadelphia Phillies

(39-29)
Rank6
R/G4.6
RA/G4.3
Rank5
R/G5.5
RA/G4.0
Rank6
R/G4.6
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Ben Brown (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
113-45.371.429

Jesus Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
135-24.461.445

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 8-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Colin Rea • PHI: Mick Abel-105
L 3-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Matthew Boyd • PHI: Zack Wheeler+114
L 0-4 at Detroit TigersCHC: Cade Horton • DET: Jack Flaherty+113
W 6-1 at Detroit TigersCHC: Jameson Taillon • DET: Tyler Holton-116
L 1-3 at Detroit TigersCHC: Ben Brown • DET: Tarik Skubal+175
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 8-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Colin Rea • PHI: Mick Abel+109
W 3-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Matthew Boyd • PHI: Zack Wheeler-118
L 1-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • PIT: Paul Skenes+110
L 1-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Ranger Suárez • PIT: Andrew Heaney-134
L 4-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Joe Ross • PIT: Bailey Falter-127

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CMiguel Amaya10-day IL
  • CFPete Crow-ArmstrongRest
  • -Porter Hodge15-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CFBrandon MarshQuestionable
  • PJose AlvaradoOut
  • 1BBryce Harper10-day IL
  • PAaron Nola15-day IL
W 7 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)82°83°84°84°
Humidity44%41%42%41%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindW 7 mphW 9 mphW 10 mphW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+126-105-110-106-106-106-105-100.9
Phillies-139-105-110-104-104-104-104+100.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+111-105-105-105-110-105-105-100.9
Phillies-125-110-107-110+100-105+100+100.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -103 to -109
Phillies ML moved from -117 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Phillies: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +100 to -105
Phillies ML moved from +100 to -103

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-185-1½+152-1½+160+1½-210+1½-220+1½-210+1½-190
Phillies-1½+161+1½-168+1½-185-1½+180-1½+180-1½+180-1½+190
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-180+1½-210+1½-215+1½-215+1½-215+1½-210+1½-210+1½-190
Phillies-1½+160-1½+180-1½+185-1½+180-1½+185-1½+185-1½+185-1½+190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-103o9-105o9-114o9-110o9-114o9-103o9-104
Underu9-115u9-113u9-115u9-106u9-110u9-106u9-106u9+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-110o8½-125o9+100o8½-125o8½-125o9+100o9-104
Underu9-115u9-110u8½+105u9-120u8½+105u8½+105u9-110u9+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-107 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-125 to u8½-125
Marlins at Pirates
Reds at Guardians