Phillies at Astros

Updated
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1
47.8%52.2%
Phillies WinAstros Win
3.73Projected Runs 3.96
0Final Score 1
Rank11
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1
Rank11
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Ranger Suárez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
96-12.21.064

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
158-43.091.125

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 1-7 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • PHI: Jesus Luzardo-110
L 11-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Griffin Canning • PHI: Mick Abel+120
W 2-10 vs New York MetsNYM: Blade Tidwell • PHI: Zack Wheeler-185
W 2-1 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • MIA: Edward Cabrera-134
W 4-2 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Ranger Suárez • MIA: Adam Mazur-184
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 8-7 at Los Angeles AngelsHOU: Ryan Gusto • LAA: Kyle Hendricks-105
L 1-9 at Los Angeles AngelsHOU: Brandon Walter • LAA: Jose Soriano+115
W 3-2 at Los Angeles AngelsHOU: Hunter Brown • LAA: Yusei Kikuchi-168
L 4-6 at Oakland AthleticsHOU: Colton Gordon • OAK: Jacob Lopez-138
W 11-4 at Oakland AthleticsHOU: Framber Valdez • OAK: Luis Severino-175

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PJose AlvaradoOut
  • PAaron Nola60-day IL
  • 1BBryce Harper10-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • PRonel BlancoOut
  • PJ.P. France60-day IL
  • PSpencer Arrighetti60-day IL
  • LFChas McCormick10-day IL
  • PHayden WesneskiOut for Season
  • LFJacob Melton10-day IL
  • LFZach Dezenzo10-day IL
ESE 8 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To LeftVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)86°84°82°81°
Humidity68%74%77%83%
Precipitation40%40%0%40%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindESE 8 mphESE 8 mphESE 6 mphESE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+109+136+128+134+135+134+136+139.6
Astros-120-146-153-148-145-148-145-139.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+123+135+141+133+133+134+141+139.6
Astros-138-150-157-148-150-148-148-139.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Astros: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +130 to +123
Astros ML moved from -135 to -143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Phillies ML
Astros ML moved from -149 to -162

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-180+1½-168+1½-175+1½-170+1½-170+1½-168+1½-168+1½-157
Astros-1½+155-1½+152-1½+150-1½+149-1½+150-1½+148-1½+152-1½+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-175+1½-165+1½-157
Astros-1½+150-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+155-1½+155-1½+157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-103o7½-105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+109
Underu7½-110u7½-113u7½-115u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-113u7½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-125o7½+100o7½+100o7-125o7½+100o7½+100o7-125o7½+109
Underu7+105u7½-120u7½-120u7+105u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-115 to o7½+100
The Under moved from u7½-125 to u7-105