Nationals at Braves

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
40.5%59.5%
Nationals WinBraves Win
4.25Projected Runs 5.25
5Final Score 3
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.0
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Jon Lester (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
60-24.911.466

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-35.951.299

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 11-6 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Stephen Strasburg • ATL: Max Fried+129
L 3-5 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Joe Ross • ATL: Charlie Morton+176
L 3-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • WSN: Max Scherzer-110
L 6-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brett Anderson • WSN: Jon Lester-120
L 4-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • WSN: Patrick Corbin+112
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 11-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Stephen Strasburg • ATL: Max Fried-136
W 3-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Joe Ross • ATL: Charlie Morton-184
L 2-13 at New York MetsATL: Ian Anderson • NYM: Taijuan Walker-145
L 5-9 at Boston Red SoxATL: Drew Smyly • BOS: Nick Pivetta+131
W 3-1 at Boston Red SoxATL: Charlie Morton • BOS: Garrett Richards-107

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PErick Fedde10-day IL
  • PStephen Strasburg10-day IL
  • PWill Harris10-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • LFMarcell OzunaOut
  • PHuascar Ynoa60-day IL
  • CFCristian Pache10-day IL
  • PMike SorokaOut for Season
SSE 5 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)81°80°77°76°
Humidity51%54%60%64%
Precipitation1%2%1%1%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSE 5 mphSE 5 mphESE 6 mphESE 6 mph
Phil Cuzzi
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+152+135+132+138+139+138+139-
Braves-165-149-152-149-149-149-149-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+138+138+137+138+138+141+141-
Braves-151-148-150-148-150-151-148-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Braves: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +140 to +134
Braves ML moved from -150 to -158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Braves: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +146 to +140
Braves ML moved from -148 to -155

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140-
Braves-1½+125-1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-140+1½-140+1½-143+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140-
Braves-1½+122-1½+120-1½+125-1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-119o10+100o10+100o10+100o10+100o10+100-
Underu9½-110u9½-101u10-120u10-120u10-120u10-120u9½-101-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o10+100o9½-115o10+100o10-110o9½-115o10+100-
Underu9½-105u10-120u9½-105u10-120u10-110u9½-105u10-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+104 to o9½-118
The Under moved from u10-125 to u9½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10-110 to u9½-105