Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3
40.7%59.3%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
3.55Projected Runs 4.52
11Final Score 4
Rank28
R/G3.7
RA/G5.7
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3
Rank28
R/G3.7
RA/G5.7

Pitching

Mitchell Parker (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-01.50.583

Edward Cabrera (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-03.271.455

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 3-1 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Trevor Williams • MIA: Anthony Maldonado+114
L 2-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Yoshinobu Yamamoto • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+156
L 8-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Landon Knack • WSN: Jake Irvin+162
L 4-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: James Paxton • WSN: Patrick Corbin+205
W 0-6 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Hunter Brown • WSN: Mitchell Parker+154
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Trevor Williams • MIA: Anthony Maldonado-122
L 3-4 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Sixto Sánchez • ATL: Reynaldo López+229
L 0-5 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Trevor Rogers • ATL: Max Fried+227
L 0-3 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Ryan Weathers • ATL: Bryce Elder+190
W 6-3 at Chicago CubsMIA: Edward Cabrera • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+112

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • RFLane Thomas10-day IL
  • 3BNick SenzelUnknown
  • LFJoey Gallo10-day IL
  • PJosiah Gray15-day IL
  • CFVictor Robles10-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PJesus Luzardo15-day IL
  • PEury PerezOut for Season
  • PJosh Simpson60-day IL
  • SSXavier Edwards10-day IL
  • PSandy Alcantara60-day IL
  • PA.J. Puk15-day IL
  • PJT Chargois15-day IL
  • 3BJake Burger10-day IL
  • PBraxton Garrett15-day IL
E 17 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
From LeftSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)81°81°79°78°
Humidity58%56%58%61%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionWindyWindyWindyWindy
WindE 17 mphE 17 mphE 17 mphE 16 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+115+121+119+126+126+126+126+130.6
Marlins-125-131-142-137-136-137-134-130.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+118+125+128+123+125+124+128+130.6
Marlins-128-135-140-138-135-134-134-130.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +122 to +115
Marlins ML moved from -133 to -142

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +134 to +125
Marlins ML moved from -137 to -147

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-180+1½-168+1½-180+1½-171+1½-170+1½-171+1½-168+1½-158
Marlins-1½+160-1½+152-1½+155-1½+151-1½+150-1½+151-1½+155-1½+158
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-175+1½-175+1½-172+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-172+1½-158
Marlins-1½+155-1½+155-1½+152-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+158

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-103o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-103o7½+104
Underu8-105u7½-113u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-113u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-105o7½+102o7½-115o7½-115o7½-105o7½+102o7½+104
Underu8-110u7½-115u7½-122u7½-105u7½-105u7½-115u7½-105u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-123
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115