Reds at Phillies

Updated

Cincinnati Reds

(14-10)
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
38.8%61.2%
Reds WinPhillies Win
3.29Projected Runs 4.47
2Final Score 3

Philadelphia Phillies

(15-10)
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-03.61.8

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-13.381.313

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 2-5 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Hunter Greene • PHI: Zack Wheeler+170
L 12-5 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • CIN: Luis Cessa+118
W 6-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Drew Smyly • CIN: Connor Overton+111
W 1-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Vince Velasquez • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-124
W 2-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Rich Hill • CIN: Nick Lodolo-145
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • PHI: Zack Wheeler-185
L 2-4 at New York YankeesPHI: Aaron Nola • NYY: Gerrit Cole+154
W 4-1 at New York YankeesPHI: Matt Strahm • NYY: Domingo German+145
L 1-8 at New York YankeesPHI: Taijuan Walker • NYY: Nestor Cortes+161
L 1-2 at Texas RangersPHI: Bailey Falter • TEX: Martin Perez+118

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PTejay Antone60-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • PTony SantillanUnknown
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • PLuke WeaverUnknown
  • PJustin Dunn60-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PNick NelsonUnknown
  • 1BDarick Hall10-day IL
  • CRafael Alejandro Marchon60-day IL
  • 2BJosh HarrisonUnknown
  • PRanger SuarezUnknown
  • PCristopher SanchezUnknown
  • PNoah SongUnknown
  • 1BRhys HoskinsOut for Season
NE 4 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)53°52°52°51°
Humidity30%30%31%35%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindNE 4 mphENE 3 mphE 3 mphSE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+132+130+122+123+130+123+130+127.3
Phillies-142-140-145-133-140-133-133-127.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+122+127+125+122+126+123+127+127.3
Phillies-145-137-137-145-137-133-133-127.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +129 to +123
Phillies ML moved from -135 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
No Steam Moves On Phillies ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-150+1½-168+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-175+1½-168+1½-162
Phillies-1½+130-1½+152-1½+145-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+162
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-160+1½-170+1½-173+1½-165+1½-165+1½-175+1½-165+1½-162
Phillies-1½+135-1½+150-1½+153-1½+140-1½+145-1½+155-1½+155-1½+162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-103o8+100o8-106o8+100o8-106o8+100o8+104
Underu8½-105u8-113u8-120u8-114u8-120u8-114u8-113u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-105o8-105o8+100o8+110o7½-125o8+110o8+104
Underu8½-115u8-115u8-115u8-120u8-130u7½+105u7½+105u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-123
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120
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