Phillies at Braves

Updated
Rank4
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
34.8%65.2%
Phillies WinBraves Win
3.18Projected Runs 4.77
4Final Score 11
Rank1
R/G5.8
RA/G4.0
Rank4
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
Rank1
R/G5.8
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Dylan Covey (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-03.01.333

Spencer Strider (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
104-22.971.04

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 2-1 at Atlanta BravesPHI: Zack Wheeler • ATL: Charlie Morton+112
W 6-4 at Atlanta BravesPHI: Taijuan Walker • ATL: Jared Shuster+138
L 5-8 at Atlanta BravesPHI: Aaron Nola • ATL: Dylan Dodd-102
W 5-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zac Gallen • PHI: Ranger Suarez-105
L 4-3 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Ryne Nelson • PHI: Matt Strahm-148
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • ATL: Charlie Morton-120
L 6-4 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Taijuan Walker • ATL: Jared Shuster-142
W 5-8 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • ATL: Dylan Dodd-105
W 3-4 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tony Gonsolin • ATL: Bryce Elder-115
L 8-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Bobby Miller • ATL: Spencer Strider-180

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CFCristian Pache10-day IL
  • PJose AlvaradoUnknown

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • 3BEhire Adrianza60-day IL
  • PMichael TonkinUnknown
  • PDylan LeeUnknown
  • PMax FriedUnknown
  • PKyle Wright60-day IL
NW 7 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)77°74°71°70°
Humidity41%47%51%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNW 7 mphNW 5 mphNW 4 mphNNW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+225+218+200+220+215+220+220+227.2
Braves-245-243-245-245-235-245-235-227.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+210+220+216+210+230+230+230+227.2
Braves-260-260-240-260-265-280-240-227.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +230 to +215
Braves ML moved from -245 to -258

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Phillies: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 60.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +222 to +216
Braves ML moved from -238 to -248

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½+110+1½+112+1½+110+1½+109+1½+105+1½+109+1½+112+1½+118
Braves-1½-130-1½-128-1½-130-1½-129-1½-125-1½-129-1½-125-1½-118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½+105+1½+110+1½+105+1½+118+1½+115+1½+110+1½+118+1½+118
Braves-1½-125-1½-130-1½-123-1½-140-1½-135-1½-130-1½-123-1½-118

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9-103o9+105o9-104o9+100o9-104o9+105o9+105
Underu8½-110u9-113u9-125u9-116u9-120u9-116u9-113u9-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9-105o9+105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9+105o9+105
Underu8½-110u9-115u9-125u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-115