Nationals at Blue Jays

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
42.5%57.5%
Nationals WinBlue Jays Win
4.68Projected Runs 5.46
8Final Score 2
Rank13
R/G3.7
RA/G4.2
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G3.7
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Erick Fedde (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-25.511.469

Steven Matz (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
44-02.310.943

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 5-9 at Toronto Blue JaysWSN: Max Scherzer • TOR: Trent Thornton-115
L 0-4 at New York MetsWSN: Patrick Corbin • NYM: Taijuan Walker+140
W 7-1 at New York MetsWSN: Joe Ross • NYM: Marcus Stroman+175
L 0-6 at New York MetsWSN: Erick Fedde • NYM: Jacob deGrom+268
W 0-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Carlos Martinez • WSN: Max Scherzer-157
Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
W 5-9 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Max Scherzer • TOR: Trent Thornton+108
W 1-0 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Hyun Jin Ryu • TBR: Luis Patino-115
L 3-5 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Robbie Ray • TBR: Brent Honeywell+128
W 5-3 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Steven Matz • TBR: Tyler Glasnow+151
W 6-3 at Boston Red SoxTOR: Trent Thornton • BOS: Garrett Richards+118

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • RFJuan Soto10-day IL
  • PLuis AvilanOut for Season
  • PJon Lester10-day IL
  • PWill Harris10-day IL
  • PStephen Strasburg10-day IL
  • PWander Suero10-day IL
  • LFAndrew StevensonRest

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • PThomas Hatch60-day IL
  • PJulian Merryweather10-day IL
  • PT.J. Zeuch10-day IL
  • PNate Pearson10-day IL
  • PHyun-Jin RyuProbable
  • PTanner RoarkOut
  • PRoss Stripling10-day IL
  • CFGeorge SpringerUnknown
  • RFTeoscar Hernandez10-day IL
  • PPatrick Murphy60-day IL
N 7 mph
TD Park, Dunedin, FL
WindO/U Effect
To RightModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)79°77°75°74°
Humidity64%68%72%80%
Precipitation3%4%3%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 7 mphNNW 6 mphNNW 6 mphNNW 6 mph
Alan Porter
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+143+158+155+164+163+164+164-
Blue Jays-155-174-180-178-178-178-174-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+152+155+153+159+155+163+163-
Blue Jays-162-170-168-174-175-176-170-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +165 to +158
Blue Jays ML moved from -164 to -171

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Blue Jays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +161 to +155
Blue Jays ML moved from -168 to -174

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-135+1½-113+1½-125+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-113-
Blue Jays-1½+115-1½-106-1½+105-1½+100-1½+100-1½+100-1½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-135+1½-125+1½-124+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-124-
Blue Jays-1½+115-1½+105-1½+106-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+106-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9½-128o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120o9½-120-
Underu9½-120u9½+106u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+100u9½+106-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-115o9½-128o9½-120o9½-115o9½-120o9½-115-
Underu9-100u9½-105u9½+108u9½+100u9½-105u9½+100u9½+108-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-116 to o9½-128
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o9½-125
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-110