Diamondbacks at Orioles

Updated
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9
37.5%62.5%
Diamondbacks WinOrioles Win
3.91Projected Runs 5.23
4Final Score 5
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Ryne Nelson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-25.231.597

John Means (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-00.00.429

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
L 2-4 at Baltimore OriolesARI: Brandon Pfaadt • BAL: Cole Irvin+125
W 5-4 at Cincinnati RedsARI: Slade Cecconi • CIN: Hunter Greene+129
W 4-3 at Cincinnati RedsARI: Jordan Montgomery • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+100
W 6-2 at Cincinnati RedsARI: Zac Gallen • CIN: Frankie Montas-122
W 4-11 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Matt Waldron • ARI: Ryne Nelson+104
Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Brandon Pfaadt • BAL: Cole Irvin-130
W 7-6 at Washington NationalsBAL: Kyle Bradish • WSN: Mitchell Parker-162
L 0-3 at Washington NationalsBAL: Corbin Burnes • WSN: Trevor Williams-210
W 11-1 at Cincinnati RedsBAL: Dean Kremer • CIN: Nick Lodolo+117
W 2-1 at Cincinnati RedsBAL: John Means • CIN: Andrew Abbott+112

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • -Miguel Castro15-day IL
  • PMerrill Kelly60-day IL
  • DHJoc PedersonRest
  • PKyle Nelson60-day IL
  • PEduardo Rodriguez60-day IL
  • RFJake McCarthyRest

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PGrayson Rodriguez15-day IL
  • CFCedric MullinsRest
  • PTyler Wells15-day IL
  • LFAustin Hays10-day IL
SSE 8 mph
Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)64°64°63°61°
Humidity47%47%49%52%
Precipitation0%0%0%11%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSSE 8 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 9 mphSSE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+153+138+130+136+136+136+138+140.8
Orioles-167-150-155-148-146-148-146-140.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+155+134+130+144+146+135+146+140.8
Orioles-170-144-142-159-159-150-142-140.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Orioles: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 20.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +134 to +128
Orioles ML moved from -172 to -178

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Diamondbacks: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Orioles: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Diamondbacks: 0.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Diamondbacks: 70.0%
Orioles: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Diamondbacks ML moved from +143 to +134
Orioles ML moved from -159 to -165

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-145+1½-146+1½-150+1½-152+1½-145+1½-152+1½-145+1½-140
Orioles-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+132-1½+125-1½+132-1½+132-1½+140
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Diamondbacks+1½-145+1½-155+1½-159+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140
Orioles-1½+125-1½+135-1½+140-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+140-1½+140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o9+105o8½-120o8½-121o8½-120o8½-121o9+105o8½-110
Underu8½-120u9-121u8½+100u8½+101u8½+100u8½+101u8½+103u8½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-110
Underu8½-120u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+105 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-119 to u8½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o9+100
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105