Marlins at Reds

Updated
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
43.9%56.1%
Marlins WinReds Win
3.93Projected Runs 4.56
3Final Score 5
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Braxton Garrett (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-33.421.141

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
133-42.771.077

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 2-1 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Pablo Lopez • CIN: Hunter Greene-108
L 2-11 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Trevor Rogers • CIN: Nick Lodolo+129
W 6-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIA: Sandy Alcantara • PIT: Mitch Keller-158
L 0-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIA: Max Meyer • PIT: Jose Quintana-108
W 8-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIA: Braxton Garrett • PIT: Zach Thompson-123
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Pablo Lopez • CIN: Hunter Greene+107
W 2-11 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Trevor Rogers • CIN: Nick Lodolo-127
W 3-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • CIN: Tyler Mahle+145
L 6-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Steven Matz • CIN: Mike Minor+151
W 5-9 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+133

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 1BGarrett Cooper10-day IL
  • PMax MeyerUnknown
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr60-day IL
  • PJimmy YacabonisUnknown
  • LFJorge SolerQuestionable
  • 3BJon Berti10-day IL
  • PAnthony Bender60-day IL
  • PElieser HernandezUnknown
  • PCody Poteet60-day IL
  • SSMiguel RojasRest
  • 3BBrian Anderson10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PTyler MahleUnknown
  • PArt WarrenUnknown
  • PRoss DetwilerUnknown
  • RFTyler NaquinRest
  • 3BMike MoustakasRest
  • PLuis CessaUnknown
  • CFNick SenzelRest
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
  • CAramis Garcia10-day IL
WSW 9 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)85°84°83°80°
Humidity81%79%82%86%
Precipitation9%9%8%8%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindWSW 9 mphWSW 9 mphWSW 8 mphWSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+108+134+139+138+139+139+139+144.6
Reds-118-160-151-148-151-151-148-144.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+146+138+137+135+146+142+146+144.6
Reds-160-148-150-160-160-152-148-144.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +134 to +127
Reds ML moved from -138 to -145

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Marlins: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 50.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +140 to +133
Reds ML moved from -145 to -153

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-190+1½-150+1½-153+1½-155+1½-153+1½-153+1½-150+1½-145
Reds-1½+165-1½+130-1½+133-1½+135-1½+133-1½+133-1½+135-1½+145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-160+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145
Reds-1½+135-1½+140-1½+136-1½+140-1½+140-1½+130-1½+140-1½+145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½+100
Underu8-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-110u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8½-110o8-125o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8-125o8½+100
Underu8-105u8½-110u8+105u8½-105u8½-110u8½-110u8½-105u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-120 to o8-130
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115