Nationals at Brewers

Updated
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
34.1%65.9%
Nationals WinBrewers Win
3.49Projected Runs 5.14
5Final Score 6
Rank4
R/G5.1
RA/G4.1
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank4
R/G5.1
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Shinnosuke Ogasawara (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-113.52.625

Brandon Woodruff (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
11-01.50.333

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 3-8 at Milwaukee BrewersWSN: Mitchell Parker • MIL: DL Hall+190
L 1-8 at St. Louis CardinalsWSN: Michael Soroka • STL: Miles Mikolas+125
W 8-2 at St. Louis CardinalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • STL: Andre Pallante+145
L 2-4 at St. Louis CardinalsWSN: Jake Irvin • STL: Sonny Gray+200
L 6-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Garrett Crochet • WSN: Shinnosuke Ogasawara+220
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 3-8 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Mitchell Parker • MIL: DL Hall-205
W 2-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tyler Glasnow • MIL: Jose Quintana+139
W 1-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tyler Glasnow • MIL: Jacob Misiorowski+100
W 1-9 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Yoshinobu Yamamoto • MIL: Freddy Peralta+125
W 3-1 at Miami MarlinsMIL: Brandon Woodruff • MIA: Edward Cabrera+107

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PAndrew Chafin15-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • 1BRhys Hoskins10-day IL
WSW 9 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°82°82°81°
Humidity68%66%69%71%
Precipitation8%8%10%8%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWSW 9 mphWSW 10 mphWSW 10 mphWSW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+214+234+225+231+230+231+234+239.1
Brewers-240-264-280-260-260-260-260-239.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+215+240+242+230+230+235+242+239.1
Brewers-255-280-275-270-275-270-270-239.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +225 to +215
Brewers ML moved from -270 to -280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +240 to +230
Brewers ML moved from -267 to -275

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-104+1½+122+1½+125+1½+118+1½+120+1½+118+1½+125+1½+126
Brewers-1½-116-1½-138-1½-145-1½-138-1½-140-1½-138-1½-138-1½-126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+110+1½+120+1½+115+1½+110+1½+115+1½+115+1½+120+1½+126
Brewers-1½-130-1½-140-1½-135-1½-130-1½-135-1½-135-1½-130-1½-126

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o9-108o9-110o9-110o9-115o9-110o9-108o9+100
Underu8-105u9-108u9-110u9-110u9-105u9-110u9-105u9+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o9-105o9-105o9+101o9+100o9-105o9+101o9+100
Underu8½-120u9-115u9-115u9-121u9-120u9-115u9-115u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+100 to o9+105
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u7-120