Blue Jays at Twins

Updated
Rank11
R/G3.8
RA/G4.7
53.5%46.5%
Blue Jays WinTwins Win
4.88Projected Runs 4.52
1Final Score 3
Rank16
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank11
R/G3.8
RA/G4.7
Rank16
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Jose Berrios (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3012-83.451.072

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
192-34.341.23

Last 5 Games

Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
L 2-7 at Minnesota TwinsTOR: Steven Matz • MIN: Michael Pineda-134
L 1-7 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Julian Merryweather • TBR: Luis Patino+101
W 4-2 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Alek Manoah • TBR: Drew Rasmussen-103
L 4-6 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Robbie Ray • TBR: Shane Baz-125
W 3-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Luke Farrell • TOR: Jose Berrios-204
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 2-7 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Steven Matz • MIN: Michael Pineda+128
W 5-4 at Chicago CubsMIN: Joe Ryan • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-107
W 9-5 at Chicago CubsMIN: Griffin Jax • CHC: Alec Mills+110
L 3-5 at Toronto Blue JaysMIN: Luke Farrell • TOR: Jose Berrios+195
L 2-6 at Toronto Blue JaysMIN: Bailey Ober • TOR: Steven Matz+157

Injuries

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • LFLourdes Gurriel Jr.Unknown
  • PAnthony Kay10-day IL
  • PHyun-Jin Ryu10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PJohn Gant10-day IL
  • RFMax KeplerUnknown
  • CMitch GarverRest
  • CFRob Refsnyder10-day IL
  • PKenta MaedaOut for Season
  • PRandy DobnakOut for Season
W 6 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
To CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)59°57°54°52°
Humidity61%59%60%60%
Precipitation4%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 6 mphWNW 7 mphWNW 7 mphWNW 7 mph
Dan Iassogna
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-139-160-151-151-152-152-151-148.1
Twins+129+134+139+141+142+140+142+148.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-145-144-154-143-147-144-143-148.1
Twins+133+134+140+133+135+134+140+148.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from -145 to -151
Twins ML moved from +131 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 40.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from -142 to -154
Twins ML moved from +137 to +131

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-1½+115-1½-105-1½-103-1½+100-1½-103-1½-103-1½+100-1½+103
Twins+1½-135+1½-115+1½-117+1½-120+1½-117+1½-117+1½-115+1½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-1½+105-1½+110-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-1½+100-1½+110-1½+103
Twins+1½-125+1½-130+1½-118+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-118+1½-103

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o8½-125o8½-120o8½-125o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o9+108
Underu9-105u8½+105u8½+100u8½+105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+105u9-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o8½-115o8½-128o8½-120o8½-120o9-105o8½-115o9+108
Underu9-105u8½-105u8½+108u8½+100u8½+100u9-115u9-115u9-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-128
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-105