Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
44.4%55.6%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
4.03Projected Runs 4.61
7Final Score 5
Rank27
R/G3.7
RA/G5.5
Rank26
R/G3.7
RA/G4.4
Rank27
R/G3.7
RA/G5.5

Pitching

Josiah Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
100-26.241.444

Elieser Hernandez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
90-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 7-1 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Josh Rogers • MIA: Trevor Rogers+132
L 7-8 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Erick Fedde • MIA: Jesus Luzardo-105
W 0-3 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Jon Gray • WSN: Paolo Espino-104
L 6-0 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Kyle Freeland • WSN: Patrick Corbin-122
L 9-8 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: German Marquez • WSN: Josiah Gray+108
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 7-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josh Rogers • MIA: Trevor Rogers-136
W 7-8 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Erick Fedde • MIA: Jesus Luzardo-101
W 5-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Max Kranick • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-205
L 6-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bryse Wilson • MIA: Edward Cabrera-129
L 2-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Wil Crowe • MIA: Elieser Hernandez-149

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CKeibert RuizRest
  • LFGerardo Parra10-day IL
  • PKyle McGowin60-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 1BJesus Aguilar10-day IL
  • 3BBrian AndersonOut for Season
  • PPablo Lopez60-day IL
  • CJorge Alfaro10-day IL
NNW 4 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°76°76°78°
Humidity88%91%91%83%
Precipitation26%20%17%15%
ConditionPossible Light Rain and HumidHumid and OvercastHumid and OvercastHumid and Overcast
WindNNW 4 mphNW 3 mphNW 3 mphWNW 4 mph
Bill Miller
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+123+108+118+119+118+118+119+125.3
Marlins-133-130-128-129-128-128-128-125.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+125+117+119+121+112+122+122+125.3
Marlins-135-127-130-131-122-132-122-125.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +115 to +108
Marlins ML moved from -128 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +122 to +112
Marlins ML moved from -126 to -132

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-164
Marlins-1½+160-1½+150-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+155-1½+160-1½+164
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-170+1½-175+1½-172+1½-175+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-164
Marlins-1½+150-1½+155-1½+152-1½+155-1½+150-1½+150-1½+155-1½+164

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-115o8-112o8-110o8-112o8-112o8-110o8-102
Underu8-110u8-105u8-108u8-110u8-108u8-108u8-105u8+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-102
Underu8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-112 to u8-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-113 to o7½-128
The Under moved from u8-107 to u7½-107