Padres at Cubs

Updated
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
52.8%47.2%
Padres WinCubs Win
4.28Projected Runs 3.99
2Final Score 5
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
Rank6
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-12.781.279

Hayden Wesneski (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-16.231.673

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 5-3 at Chicago CubsSDP: Michael Wacha • CHC: Drew Smyly+104
L 0-6 at Chicago CubsSDP: Blake Snell • CHC: Justin Steele+105
W 7-5 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Yu Darvish • ARI: Drey Jameson-145
W 5-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Joe Musgrove • ARI: Merrill Kelly-136
L 0-9 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Seth Lugo • ARI: Zac Gallen-105
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 5-3 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael Wacha • CHC: Drew Smyly-108
W 0-6 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Blake Snell • CHC: Justin Steele-107
L 7-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • CHC: Marcus Stroman+128
L 9-4 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Dustin May • CHC: Hayden Wesneski+114
W 0-13 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urias • CHC: Drew Smyly+154

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • CLuis Campusano10-day IL
  • PAdrian Morejon60-day IL
  • PNabil CrismattUnknown
  • CFAdam Engel10-day IL
  • PDrew PomeranzUnknown
  • PJose CastilloUnknown
  • PRobert Suarez60-day IL
  • LFDavid Dahl10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PBrandon HughesUnknown
  • PJameson TaillonUnknown
  • CFCody BellingerOut
  • PKyle HendricksUnknown
SE 8 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)59°60°61°60°
Humidity39%38%38%39%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSE 8 mphESE 8 mphESE 8 mphE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-130-167-180-169-168-169-167-160.8
Cubs+120+157+148+156+158+156+158+160.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-130-169-165-170-168-166-165-160.8
Cubs+120+154+150+143+154+151+154+160.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -170 to -180
Cubs ML moved from +127 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -155 to -161
Cubs ML moved from +144 to +138

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+115-1½-108-1½-120-1½-115-1½-110-1½-115-1½-108-1½-104
Cubs+1½-135+1½-108+1½+100+1½-105+1½-110+1½-105+1½+100+1½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+120-1½-120-1½-113-1½-120-1½-110-1½-120-1½-110-1½-104
Cubs+1½-138+1½+100+1½-105+1½+100+1½-110+1½+100+1½+100+1½+104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-113o8½-110o8½-107o8½-115o8½-107o8½-107o8½+103
Underu8½-105u8½-103u8½-110u8½-113u8½-105u8½-113u8½-103u8½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-115o8½-105o8½-110o8½-115o8½+100o8½+100o8½+103
Underu9-115u8½-105u8½-115u8½-110u8½-105u8½-120u8½-105u8½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-103 to o8½-118
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120