Cubs at Reds

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(14-9)
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5
46.5%53.5%
Cubs WinReds Win
4.48Projected Runs 4.85
3Final Score 2

Cincinnati Reds

(13-10)
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Zach Davies (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-29.472.211

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-26.291.603

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 6-8 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Jake Arrieta • CIN: Wade Miley+111
W 9-3 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Adbert Alzolay • ATL: Bryse Wilson+120
L 0-10 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Kyle Hendricks • ATL: Huascar Ynoa+124
L 0-5 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Trevor Williams • ATL: Ian Anderson+153
L 7-8 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Zach Davies • ATL: Charlie Morton+180
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 6-8 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jake Arrieta • CIN: Wade Miley-118
L 0-8 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Sonny Gray • LAD: Clayton Kershaw+190
W 6-5 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Jeff Hoffman • LAD: Walker Buehler+237
W 5-3 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Tyler Mahle • LAD: Julio Urias+170
L 2-5 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Luis Castillo • STL: Jack Flaherty+115

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PRowan Wick60-day IL
  • CWillson ContrerasQuestionable
  • PShelby Miller10-day IL
  • PJonathan Holder60-day IL
  • PTrevor Megill10-day IL
  • LFJoc Pederson10-day IL
  • CAustin Romine10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BJonathan India10-day IL
  • RFJesse WinkerQuestionable
  • PMichael Lorenzen60-day IL
  • RFAristides Aquino60-day IL
  • LFShogo Akiyama10-day IL
SSW 11 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)71°72°72°71°
Humidity30%30%34%38%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSW 11 mphSW 11 mphSW 11 mphSSW 10 mph
Sam Holbrook
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireModerate Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+145+140+135+138+139+138+140-
Reds-157-155-155-149-149-149-149-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+143+145+142+148+140+145+148-
Reds-153-155-156-158-155-155-155-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +144 to +138
Reds ML moved from -163 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +142 to +136
Reds ML moved from -150 to -158

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-148+1½-148+1½-148+1½-145-
Reds-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+128-1½+128-1½+128-1½+128-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140-
Reds-1½+125-1½+120-1½+122-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9+102o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9+102-
Underu8½-105u9-123u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-110o9-105o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-105-
Underu8½-105u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-117 to o9-129
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110
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