Cubs at Braves

Updated
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.4
31.7%68.3%
Cubs WinBraves Win
3.74Projected Runs 5.62
6Final Score 3
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.0
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.4
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Mark Leiter (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-111.051.909

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-26.321.532

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 1-3 at Atlanta BravesCHC: Marcus Stroman • ATL: Max Fried+157
L 4-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • CHC: Justin Steele-151
W 0-21 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Zach Thompson • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-168
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jose Quintana • CHC: Drew Smyly-168
L 4-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bryse Wilson • CHC: Mark Leiter-156
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Marcus Stroman • ATL: Max Fried-165
L 5-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Jesus Luzardo • ATL: Bryce Elder-123
L 9-7 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Elieser Hernandez • ATL: Ian Anderson-152
W 0-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Trevor Rogers • ATL: Kyle Wright-135
L 1-5 at Los Angeles DodgersATL: Charlie Morton • LAD: Tony Gonsolin+129

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • SSAndrelton Simmons10-day IL
  • PWade Miley10-day IL
  • LFClint Frazier10-day IL
  • PAlec Mills10-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PLuke Jackson60-day IL
  • RFRonald Acuna Jr.10-day IL
  • RFEddie RosarioOut
  • 3BOrlando ArciaRest
  • CFGuillermo HerediaRest
NW 4 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)74°71°68°66°
Humidity26%33%39%42%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 4 mphWNW 3 mphNW 4 mphNNW 4 mph
Alfonso Marquez
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+175+170+178+183+174+178+183+180.0
Braves-185-210-194-195-194-194-194-180.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+185+177+180+180+176+176+180+180.0
Braves-205-195-199-200-195-192-192-180.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Braves: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Braves: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +180 to +174
Braves ML moved from -185 to -200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Braves: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Braves: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +185 to +179
No Steam Moves On Braves ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-115+1½-115+1½-118+1½-120+1½-118+1½-118+1½-115+1½-109
Braves-1½-105-1½-105-1½-102-1½+100-1½-102-1½-102-1½+100-1½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-110+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120+1½-115+1½-120+1½-115+1½-109
Braves-1½-110-1½+100-1½+102-1½+100-1½-105-1½+100-1½+102-1½+109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-104
Underu9-120u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-115o8½-118o8½-120o8½-110o8½-115o8½-110o8½-104
Underu8½-120u8½-105u8½-102u8½+100u8½-110u8½-105u8½+100u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-118
No Steam Moves On Under