Guardians at Twins

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
48.6%51.4%
Guardians WinTwins Win
4.25Projected Runs 4.14
5Final Score 1
Rank26
R/G4.2
RA/G4.8
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank26
R/G4.2
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Gavin Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
93-24.291.643

Chris Paddack (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-34.051.179

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 5-6 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Logan Allen • MIN: Bailey Ober+135
L 1-3 at Cincinnati RedsCLE: Luis Ortiz • CIN: Andrew Abbott+118
L 1-4 at Cincinnati RedsCLE: Slade Cecconi • CIN: Brent Suter-110
L 4-5 at Cincinnati RedsCLE: Tanner Bibee • CIN: Brady Singer-117
L 9-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Logan Henderson • CLE: Gavin Williams-118
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 5-6 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Logan Allen • MIN: Bailey Ober-143
L 2-5 at Milwaukee BrewersMIN: Zebby Matthews • MIL: Freddy Peralta+129
W 7-0 at Milwaukee BrewersMIN: Pablo Lopez • MIL: Tobias Myers-117
W 3-0 at Milwaukee BrewersMIN: Joe Ryan • MIL: Chad Patrick-111
W 4-0 at Baltimore OriolesMIN: Chris Paddack • BAL: Tomoyuki Sugano+121

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CFLane Thomas10-day IL
  • PSam Hentges60-day IL
  • -Paul Sewald15-day IL
  • PJohn Means60-day IL
  • PTrevor Stephan60-day IL
  • LFDavid Fry60-day IL
  • PErik Sabrowski15-day IL
  • PShane Bieber15-day IL
  • PBen Lively15-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • SSCarlos CorreaUnknown
  • 2BLuke Keaschall60-day IL
  • CFByron BuxtonUnknown
  • -Michael Tonkin15-day IL
  • PDanny Coulombe15-day IL
  • RFMatt Wallner10-day IL
NE 3 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)49°50°50°50°
Humidity83%84%84%84%
Precipitation40%43%56%53%
ConditionDrizzleDrizzleDrizzleDrizzle
WindNE 3 mphNNE 3 mphN 3 mphN 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+104+111-101+110+105+110+111+115.0
Twins-115-121-119-121-115-121-115-115.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-102+105+104+110+110+111+111+115.0
Twins-110-120-116-125-120-121-116-115.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +113 to +105
Twins ML moved from -132 to -139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guardians ML
Twins ML moved from -115 to -125

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-220+1½-207+1½-225+1½-210+1½-220+1½-210+1½-207+1½-190
Twins-1½+186-1½+178-1½+185-1½+180-1½+180-1½+180-1½+185-1½+190
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-225+1½-215+1½-216+1½-200+1½-200+1½-215+1½-200+1½-190
Twins-1½+195-1½+185-1½+186-1½+170-1½+175-1½+190-1½+190-1½+190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7½+102o7½+105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+105o7½+109
Underu7+100u7½-118u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-118u7½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-115o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+109
Underu7-105u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-127 to o7½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-115 to o7½+100
No Steam Moves On Under