Reds at Brewers

Updated
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7
36.7%63.3%
Reds WinBrewers Win
3.45Projected Runs 4.85
5Final Score 10
Rank4
R/G5.8
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7
Rank4
R/G5.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Hunter Greene (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-36.01.611

Adrian Houser (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-22.531.172

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 4-18 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • MIL: Freddy Peralta+280
L 3-6 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Tyler Mahle • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+210
L 1-10 at Colorado RockiesCIN: Reiver Sanmartin • COL: Kyle Freeland+142
L 3-4 at Colorado RockiesCIN: Connor Overton • COL: Chad Kuhl+132
L 4-10 at Colorado RockiesCIN: Hunter Greene • COL: Antonio Senzatela+109
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 4-18 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • MIL: Freddy Peralta-300
W 3-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Tyler Mahle • MIL: Brandon Woodruff-230
L 2-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Marcus Stroman • MIL: Corbin Burnes-210
W 1-9 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • MIL: Eric Lauer-160
W 1-11 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • MIL: Adrian Houser-130

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • RFTyler Naquin10-day IL
  • SSKyle FarmerRest
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
  • PNick Lodolo10-day IL
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • DHAndrew McCutchenRest
  • CFLorenzo CainRest
  • CPedro SeverinoUnknown
  • PJake Cousins10-day IL
ENE 8 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)50°52°53°54°
Humidity64%60%59%60%
Precipitation0%0%4%7%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindENE 8 mphENE 8 mphENE 8 mphE 7 mph
John Tumpane
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Very Strong Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+140+200+213+205+202+213+213+214.3
Brewers-150-245-236-225-232-236-225-214.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+176+220+228+210+205+205+228+214.3
Brewers-195-260-254-240-230-230-230-214.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +190 to +180
Brewers ML moved from -224 to -235

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Reds: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 80.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +201 to +189
Brewers ML moved from -230 to -254

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-155+1½+115+1½+105+1½+100+1½+104+1½+105+1½+115+1½+114
Brewers-1½+135-1½-135-1½-125-1½-120-1½-124-1½-125-1½-120-1½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-110+1½+105+1½-101+1½+100+1½+110+1½+105+1½+110+1½+114
Brewers-1½-110-1½-125-1½-117-1½-120-1½-130-1½-125-1½-117-1½-114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7½-130o7½-123o7½-125o7½-123o7½-123o7½-123o7½-114
Underu7½-115u7½+110u7½+103u7½+105u7½+103u7½+103u7½+110u7½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-120o7½-120o7½-125o7½-120o7½-125o7½-120o7½-114
Underu7½-105u7½+100u7½+100u7½+105u7½+100u7½+105u7½+105u7½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-120 to o7½-130
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-120 to o7½-130
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115