Red Sox at Reds

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(13-11)
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7
51.8%48.2%
Red Sox WinReds Win
4.60Projected Runs 4.42
5Final Score 3

Cincinnati Reds

(13-10)
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-65.11.701

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
164-63.811.271

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 3-13 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Kris Bubic • BOS: Nick Pivetta-190
L 9-0 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • BOS: Rich Hill-135
W 1-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Jonathan Heasley • BOS: Michael Wacha-205
L 5-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Nestor Cortes • BOS: Brayan Bello+116
L 7-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • BOS: Nick Pivetta+147
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 3-0 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Luis Cessa • STL: Jordan Montgomery+220
L 0-1 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Hunter Greene • STL: Jose Quintana+197
L 1-5 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Mike Minor • STL: Dakota Hudson+220
L 5-6 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Fernando Cruz • STL: Jack Flaherty+240
W 3-2 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Chase Anderson • STL: Miles Mikolas+250

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 1BEric Hosmer10-day IL
  • 2BTrevor StoryUnknown
  • PGarrett WhitlockOut for Season
  • LFFranchy Cordero60-day IL
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
  • PKutter Crawford10-day IL
  • PNathan EovaldiUnknown

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PJeff Hoffman60-day IL
  • PJustin DunnUnknown
  • 3BMike MoustakasOut for Season
  • PT.J. ZeuchUnknown
  • PGraham AshcraftUnknown
E 2 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)86°83°79°77°
Humidity52%58%65%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindE 2 mphESE 3 mphSE 3 mphSSE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+100-121-128-122-122-122-121-115.5
Reds-110+112+107+112+112+112+112+115.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-105-122-121-120-123-123-120-115.5
Reds-105+112+111+110+113+113+113+115.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -120 to -130
Reds ML moved from +100 to -107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -113 to -123
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+150-1½+137-1½+135-1½+132-1½+132-1½+132-1½+137-1½+143
Reds+1½-175+1½-153+1½-160+1½-152+1½-152+1½-152+1½-152+1½-143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+155-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+143
Reds+1½-175+1½-155+1½-154+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-154+1½-143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½+102o8½+100o8½+105o8½+105o8½+105o8½+105o8½+109
Underu8½-110u8½-118u8½-120u8½-125u8½-125u8½-125u8½-118u8½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+109
Underu8½-110u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-112 to u8½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120
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